GAME NINE
October 27th, 2007
2:30 PM
CT
ABC Regional
Austin, TX
NEBRASKA
(4 - 4) (1 - 3)
VS
#17/#19 TEXAS
(6 – 2) (2 - 2)
Gametime WeatherWeather
Report for Nebraska vs. TexasLatest Line - Texas
by 21.
Schedules/Results
Texas9/1/07
- vs. Arkansas State - W 21-13
9/8/07 - vs. TCU - W 34-13
9/15/07 - at
Central Florida - W 35-32
9/22/07 - vs. Rice - W 58-14
9/29/07 - vs.
Kansas State - L 21-41
10/6/07 - vs. Oklahoma - L 21-28
10/13/07 - at Iowa
State - W 56-3
10/20/07 - at Baylor - W
31-10
Nebraska9/1/07 - vs. Nevada- W 52-10
9/8/07 - at Wake
Forest - W 20-17
9/15/07 - vs. USC - L 31-49
9/22/07 - vs. Ball State - W
41-40
9/29/07 - vs. Iowa State - W 35-17
10/6/07 - at Missouri - L
6-41
10/13/07 - vs. Oklahoma State - L 14-45
10/20/07 - vs. Texas A&M
- L 14-36
Player
BreakdownsTexas OffenseThe Texas
Longhorn offense is a balanced unit, but does lean on its passing game to get
the job done. As they enter their ninth game, the Longhorns rank 26th
nationally in total offense (437.75 ypg), 27th in passing (273.25 ypg), 25th in
passing efficiency (138.68 rating), 47th rushing (164.50 ypg), 28th scoring
offense (34.63 ppg), and 60th in turnover margin (0).
QB:
So. Colt McCoy (185 of 275, 2169 yds, 15 TDs, 12 INTs) is a solid, but still
young quarterback that has been having somewhat of a sophomore slump.
McCoy has been hit often this year, and with this punishment has missed some
game time. McCoy has an outstanding, accurate arm, completing 67.3% of his
passes. However, he is still throwing too many picks to be an elite
QB. McCoy will get a chance to put up some numbers against a shot Nebraska
defense this weekend, which could ease some of the pain of that sophomore
slump. He is starting to come into his own, however, playing very well the
past few weeks. McCoy isn't a great dual-threat, but has good enough speed
to make defenses respect him, rushing for 172 yards and 1 touchdown on 51
carries. Behind McCoy is TFr. John Chiles (1 of 9, 17 yds. Chiles is
a pretty solid running QB that has rushed for 170 yards and 1 touchdown on 31
carries.
RB: Texas' running back crew is led by the talented Jr.
Jamaal Charles (142 carries, 722 yds, 8 TDs). Charles is a speedster with
good size as well, which makes him one of the more complete backs in the Big XII
conference. Top reserves at running back are RFr. Vondrell McGee (34
carries, 165 yds, 1 TD) and Jr. Chris Ogbonnaya (22 carries, 61 yds, 5
TDs). McGee is a speed back, not quite as big as Charles, but has been
very effective used near the goal line. He has seen his production
increase over the past few games. In the occasions that Texas utilizes a
fullback, Chris Ogbonnaya is their top option, with RFr. Blaine Irby backing him
up. Chris Ogbonnaya (12 catches, 137 yds) leads the backs in receptions
with 12. Jamaal Charles (8 catches, 78 yds), and Blaine Irby (1 catch, 26
yds) have also caught passes, but McCoy doesn't throw the ball to the backs very
often.
WR/TE: Texas has a good line-up of receivers,
despite losing top wide-out Sr. Limas Sweed (19 catches, 306 yds, 3 TDs) for the
season. Starters at wide receiver is Jr. Quan Cosby (41 catches, 359 yds,
3 TDs) at X, and Sr. Nate Jones (49 catches, 552 yds, 4 TDs) at Z. Jones
has done an excellent job since replacing Sweed, becoming the top go-to
guy. Cosby is another very good threat that is tough to take down in the
open field. Top back-ups include Jr. Jordan Shipley (14 catches, 224 yds,
3 TDs) and Sr. Billy Pittman (10 catches, 72 yds). Against a Nebraska
defense that hasn't been solid in any area, these receivers should have a solid
day. Starting at tight end is So. Jermichael Finley (24 catches, 276 yds,
1 TD), with Jr. Peter Ullman (3 catches, 39 yds) backing him up. Finley is
an excellent young tight end that should develop into one of the Big XII's best
over the next season or two.
OL: The Longhorn offensive
line is doing a decent job this season. After eight games, the line has
allowed for 4.3 yards per rush, however, has given up 14 sacks. This line
needs to continue to do a better job of keeping McCoy safe in the pocket.
Baylor was able to earn 3 sacks against this unit last week. Starting at
left tackle is Sr. Tony Hills (6'6", 305 lbs), while So. Adam Ulatoski (6'8",
300 lbs) starts at right tackle. Top tackle reserves include RFr. Kyle Hix
(6'7", 320 lbs) and RFr. Tray Allen (6'5", 310 lbs). Starting at guard is
So. Chris Hall (6'4", 295 lbs) on the left and Jr. Cedric Dockery (6'4", 320
lbs) on the right. Top back-ups at guard include So. Charlie Tanner (6'4",
295 lbs.) and RFr. Michael Huey (6'5", 305 lbs.). At center, Sr. Dallas
Griffin (6'4", 285 lbs) starts, with RFr. Buck Burnette (6'3", 315 lbs)
performing back-up duties.
Texas DefenseThe
Texas defense has been very solid this season, with an excellent rushing
defense. The Longhorns' defense ranks 16th nationally in total defense
(306 ypg), 54th pass defense (216.63 ypg), 19th pass efficiency defense (106.23
rating), 11th rush defense (89.38 ypg), and 19th in scoring defense (19.25 ppg).
DL: The Texas defensive line has been solid this season,
and seems to keep getting better. They are giving up just 2.8 yards per
carry to opponents while also earning 16 sacks as a unit. Starting at
quick defensive end is Jr. Brian Orakpo (16 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 6 QBH), with
RFr. Eddie Jones (18 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 INT, 5 QBH, 1 PBU) and RFr. Sam Acho
(8 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 2 QBH, 2 PBU) backing him up. Orakpo has made an
impact since coming back from an early season injury. At power defensive
end is So. Lamarr Houston (36 tackles, 4 sacks, 1 FF, 15 QBH, 2 PBU) as the
starter, with Jr. Henry Melton (5 tackles, 1FF, 2 QBH) performing as his
back-up. Houston is very fast off the edge, even at 275 lbs. At nose
tackle is Sr. Derek Lokey (30 tackles, 1 sack, 11 QBH, 2 PBU), with Jr. Roy
Miller (28 tackles, 1 sack, 1 FF, 6 QBH, 1 PBU) serving as back-up.
Starting at defensive tackle is Sr. Frank Okam (28 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 12 QBH, 4
PBU), with Sr. Thomas Marshall (4 tackles, 4 QBH, 2 PBU) and So. Ben Alexander
(6 tackles, 1 QBH) in reserve roles. Lokey and Okam are excellent veterans
that do a great job of filling the running gaps.
LB: Texas'
linebacking corps is quite good and full of veteran starters. Starting at
MLB is Jr. Rashad Bobino (40 tackles, 4 QBH), with So. Jared Norton (39 tackles,
2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FF, 1 QBH) backing him up. At SLB is Sr. Robert
Killebrew (34 tackles, 1 QBH), while So. Sergio Kindle (11 tackles, 1 QBH) and
RFr. Dustin Earnest (3 tackles, 1 FR) are his top reserves. At WLB, Sr.
Scott Derry (40 tackles, 1 INT, 1 FF, 2 QBH, 1 PBU) starts, while So. Roddrick
Muckelroy (31 tackles, 1 INT, 1 FR) is his back-up. This unit is all about
experience, as Bobino has started 34 games, Killebrew has started 30, and Derry
has put in 18 career starts. This group is solid against the run, and does
a fine job in coverage. Kindle missed multiple games due to suspension
earlier this season, which has slowed his production, but Muckelroy and Norton
are both having quality seasons as reserves.
DB: The
Longhorns' defensive backfield has done a good job after losing 3 starters from
last season. They are in the middle of the nation in passing yards given
up, but do a nice job of forcing mistakes, which has made their pass efficiency
defense among the nation's best. Starting at cornerback is Jr. Ryan Palmer
(57 tackles, 2 FF, 11 PBU) on the right and Sr. Brandon Foster (45 tackles, 2
INT, 2 FR, 10 PBU) on the left. Top reserves at corner include So. Deon
Beasley (16 tackles, 2 INT, 5 PBU), RFr. Chykie Brown (9 tackles), and RFr.
Curtis Brown (11 tackles, 1 PBU). At safety, Sr. Marcus Griffin (55
tackles, 3 INT, 1 FF, 1 FR, 1 QBH, 2 PBU) is the starter at free safety and Sr.
Erick Jackson (48 tackles, 2 PBU) starts at strong safety. Top backups
include Sr. Drew Kelson (20 tackles, 1 QBH) and So. Ishie Oduegwu (7 tackles, 1
PBU). Texas' opponents are completing 57.5% of their passes, which is a
little higher than the Longhorn's would like.
Texas Special
TeamsThe Texas special teams units have not been very good this
season. The Longhorns rank 109th in net punting (31.57 yd avg), 58th in
punt returns (9.27 yd avg), and 29th in kickoff returns (23.35 yd avg).
K: Jr. Ryan Bailey is having a solid year, connecting on 11
of 14 field goal attempts, with a 52 yard long. On kickoffs, So. Hunter
Lawrence is averaging just 63.4 yards, with only 10 of his 54 kickoffs going for
a touchback.
P: Sr. Justin Moore is the Longhorns' top punter,
but isn't having a great season. He has punted 15 times for an average of
39.9 yards this season. 5 of his 15 punts have been downed inside the
opponents' 20. So. Trevor Gerland has punted 15 times for an average of
37.7 yards this season. Just 1 of his 15 punts has been downed inside the
opponents' 20.
KR/PR: The Longhorns' return game has been pretty
solid this year. Jr. Quan Cosby (22 kick returns, 24.6 yd avg) and Jr.
Chris Ogbonnaya (2 kick returns, 19.5 yd avg) make up the first-team kick return
unit. Jr. Quan Cosby (14 punt returns, 9.6 yd avg) is also Texas' top punt
returner.
Coverage: Texas’ kick coverage team has been decent this
season, allowing an average of 20.7 yards on 44 kickoff return attempts.
Punt coverage has been poor, with opponents averaging only 14.5 yards on 12 punt
returns. Texas has given up both a kick return and punt return for
touchdown, both to Kansas State.
Nebraska
OffenseNebraska's offense has continued to be a predictable mess
since Big XII play opened that is struggling to put points on the board.
Entering their 9th game of the season, Nebraska ranks 34th nationally in total
offense (422 ypg), 29th in passing (270.38 ypg), 36th in pass efficiency (133.07
rating), 65th in rushing (151.63 ypg), 63rd in scoring offense (26.63 ppg), and
106th in turnover margin (-1.13).
QB: Sr. Sam Keller (182
for 290, 1849 yds, 12 TDs, 10 INTs) has a strong arm, but hasn't been the most
accurate passer this season. Much has been said about his strong arm,
however, hasn't thrown many deep balls lately. He tends to force plays
that aren't there, which has resulted in many of his interceptions and also has
thrown his share of bad passes. His line hasn't always given him the best
blocking effort and his receivers drop their share of passes as well. When
Keller is on his game, he can tear opposing secondaries apart, but he hasn't
been close to that since before Big XII play started, 5 weeks ago. Jr. Joe
Ganz (1 for 1, 19 yds) is Nebraska's top back-up and hasn't seen action since
the season opener against Nevada.
RB: Nebraska's stable of running
backs is talented and fairly deep. Jr. Marlon Lucky (146 carries, 721 yds,
6 TDs) starts for the Huskers, but lately has seen more passes come his way
rather than hand-offs. Lucky is a quick back that isn't a tackle breaker,
but is tough to catch once beyond the line of scrimmage. TFr. Quentin
Castille (59 carries, 284 yds, 4 TDs) is a bruising runner, and has seen his
carries increase as of late. He has had some issues with fumbling,
however. TFr. Roy Helu (29 carries, 133 yds) is a speed back that has also
seen his number of carries increase lately. Jr. Cody Glenn (26 carries, 86
yds, 2 TDs) is a power rusher has had issues staying healthy, and that has
helped push him down the depth chart. Lack of strong blocking from the
line has hurt this group's production. In addition to leading the team in
carries and rushing yards, Marlon Lucky (49 catches, 388 yds, 1 TD) also leads
the team in receptions and receiving yards. Cody Glenn (6 catches, 52
yds), Roy Helu (3 catch, 28 yds), and Quentin Castille (1 catch, 15 yds) have
also been used into the passing game. At FB, Jr. Thomas Lawson (3 catches,
11 yds, 3 TDs) starts. He has only touched the ball inside an opponents'
10 yard line.
WR/TE: The Huskers' receivers are talented,
but inconsistent from game to game. Dropped passes and mediocre yards
after catch numbers have helped stunt the growth of the Nebraska offense this
year. Starting at Z is Sr. Terrence Nunn (23 catches, 270 yds), who has
really struggled this season. Behind Nunn is Sr. Frantz Hardy (9 catches,
142 yds), a speedy receiver that rushed for 19 yards last week on a
reverse. Starting at X is Jr. Nate Swift (23 catches, 296 yds, 1 TD), who
has good hands and does a good job in traffic. Sr. Maurice Purify (25
catches, 332 yds, 1 TD) is Nebraska's top threat, but doesn't see the field
nearly enough. Jr. Todd Peterson (10 catches, 169 yds, 2 TDs), Sr. Dan
Erickson (5 catches, 52 yds), So. Menelik Holt, and TFr. Niles Paul (1 catch, 6
yds) are also receivers that see action. Starting at TE, or H-Back in the
Nebraska terminology, will be Sr. Sean Hill (14 catches, 262 yds, 3 TD).
Hill has been a nice surprise for the Huskers this year. Sr. J.B. Phillips
(2 catches, 19 yds, 1 TD), RFr Dreu Young (1 catch, 14 yds), Jr. Hunter
Teafatiller (3 catches, 21 yds), and Mike McNeill (1 catch, 25 yds) are reserves
at TE, but haven't seen many throws their way.
OL:
Nebraska’s offensive line has been very leaky over the course of the 2007
season. This was supposed to be one of the best lines at Nebraska in
years, but their on-field performances haven't shown it. Rush blocking has
been poor, with limited running room to run, and pass protection hasn't been
much better. Injuries are starting to take their toll as well, as Nebraska
will now be without 3 of their season opener starters. On the season, they
are allowing the backs 4.7 yards per carry which saw a slight incline last
week. Starting at tackle will be Sr. Carl Nicks (6'5", 330 lbs) on the
left and TFr. Jaivorio Burkes (6'5", 315 lbs) on the right. Burkes will
make his first career start and career snap in place of the injured Jr. Lydon
Murtha (6'7", 310 lbs). RFr. Mike Smith (6'6", 290 lbs) and Jr. Matt
Slauson (6'5", 335 lbs) are the top tackle reserves. Jr. Mike Huff (6'4",
300 lbs) starts his second game at RG, while Jr. Matt Slauson (6'5", 335 lbs)
will likely start at LG. RFr. Keith Williams (6'5", 310 lbs.) and RFr.
D.J. Jones (6'5", 310 lbs) are Nebraska's top reserves at guard. So. Jacob
Hickman (6'4", 285 lbs) will start this week in place of the injured Sr. Brett
Byford (6'3", 300 lbs), while Sr. Jordan Picou (6'3", 300 lbs.) is will remain
as the top back-up.
Nebraska DefenseNebraska's defense
is a disaster that seems incapable of stopping anyone. Teams have been
able to run and pass on this team at will. The Huskers are ranked 105th
nationally in total defense (457.38 ypg), 70th pass defense (230 ypg), 58th pass
efficiency defense (122.05 rating), 115th rush defense (227.38 ypg), and 91st in
scoring defense (31.88 ppg).
DL: Nebraska’s defensive line has
been pushed around all season long, and has lacked a competent pass rush.
Opponents have been running right through this unit, chewing up 5.1 yards per
rush, an unheard of number by previous Blackshirt standards. Jr. Barry
Turner (18 tackles, 2 sacks, 6 QBH, 1 PBU) starts at open end and has struggled
with his quickness after putting on too much weight in the off-season.
Starting at base end is Jr. Zach Potter (36 tackles, 2.5 sacks, 1 FF, 1 FR, 3
QBH, 1 PBU), who is playing the best ball on the line. Top reserves are
Jr. Clayton Sievers (6 tackles, 1 QBH) and Sr. Andy Poulosky (6 tackles) at
open, in addition to RFr. Pierre Allen (5 tackle, 1 PBU) at base. Starting
at nose tackle is Jr. Ndamukong Suh (24 tackles, 1 sack, 1 FR, 1 QBH, 1 BK),
with Jr. Shukree Barfield (10 tackles) performing back-up duties. Suh has
great measurables, but has yet to play four consecutive, solid quarters of
football. So. Ty Steinkuhler (5 tackles, 1 FF), starter at defensive
tackle has struggled with some injuries this season, which has kept his
production down. Jr. Kevin Dixon (16 tackles, 1 INT) is his primary
back-up and has done a nice job in his reserve role.
LB:
Nebraska's linebacking crew was supposed to be among the nation's best this
season, but has been a tremendous disappointment instead. The injuries
sustained last week were almost absurd, with 4 linebackers now banged-up.
So. Phillip Dillard (29 tackles, 1 QBH, 2 PBU) should start this week at MLB if
he is healthy. Dillard shows a lot of skills and desire, which won him the
starting position over Sr. Corey McKeon (51 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT, 1 FR, 2 QBH,
5 PBU), who had been a starter since 2005. Sr. Bo Ruud (42 tackles, 2 INT,
2 FF, 1 PBU), starter at SLB and Sr. Lance Brandenburgh (43 tackles), starter at
WLB were both injured last week and may not play this week. Depending on
Brandenburgh's status, Sr. Steve Octavien (52 tackles, 0.5 sack, 6 QBH, 2 PBU)
could assume the starting role at WLB, but SLB is less clear. Top SLB
back-up TFr. Blake Lawrence (1 tackle) was injured in his first series of snaps
last week and will not play this week, further depleting the depth at
linebacker. So. Nick Covey (3 tackles) and So. Major Culbert (5 tackles)
will likely be in the mix to take over for the injured Ruud. Octavien is
the best athlete of the unit, but may be a bit too heavy to do all of the things
he'd like to.
DB: Nebraska’s secondary has also struggled
this year. This unit has been shredded in multiple games this season, and
doesn't appear to have a truly effective cover corner. Sr. Cortney Grixby
(16 tackles, 2 INTs, 5 PBU) is in his fourth year as a starter at WCB. He
has been playing the best football of this group, yet is just 5'9". He
injured his thumb last week, but should be fine to play this week.
Grixby's back-up, Sr. Zack Bowman (24 tackles, 1 INT, 1 QBH, 4 PBU), hasn't been
consistent since his return from a pair of knee injuries over the past year and
a half. Jr. Armando Murillo (43 tackles, 6 PBU) starts at LCB, with Sr.
Andre Jones (11 tackles, 2 PBU) backing him up. Both Murillo and Jones are
also struggling this season. At the safety positions, Sr. Tierre Green (32
tackles, 3 PBU) starts at FS and So. Larry Asante (47 tackles, 1 FF, 1 QBH, 1
PBU) is the starter at SS. Green is having a disappointing season, not
making many plays or getting big hits. Top reserves include So. Rickey
Thenarse (15 tackles, 1 FF) and Sr. Ben Eisenhart (16 tackles) at FS, with Sr.
Bryan Wilson (12 tackles, 1 QBH) at SS. Thenarse is a great young talent
that hits like a freight train, but doesn't get on the field often enough.
Nebraska Special TeamsNebraska's special teams
started the season solidly, but have started to go downhill over the past few
games. The Huskers are ranked 38th in net punting (36.94 yd avg), 104th in
punt returns (5.92 yd avg), and 46th in kickoff returns (22.57 yd avg).
K: TFr. Adi Kunalic (1 for 1, 46 yd lng) handles kickoffs
and long field goals. Kunalic has pushed 22 of 39 kickoffs for touchback,
with a 67.5 yard average. RFr. Alex Hennery handles short field goals (5
for 5, 39 yd lng) and extra points.
P: Jr. Dan Titchener is one of
the nation's top punters. He is averaging 41.2 yards on 33 punts with a
long of 51. 10 of his 33 punts have been downed inside the opponents'
20. He has above average leg power, with typically solid
consistency.
KR/PR: Nebraska’s kick return game has been
decent; however, the punt return game is below average. Seniors Cortney
Grixby (29 kick returns, 24.8 yd avg) and Andre Jones (12 kick returns, 22.2 yd
avg) are the top kickoff return men. Cortney Grixby (7 punt returns, 5.1
yd avg) and Andre Jones (3 returns, 11.7 yd avg) are also the team's top punt
returners.
Coverage: Nebraska’s coverage teams have been pretty
solid this season. The kick coverage unit is allowing an average of 19.8
yards on 18 kickoff returns, while the punt return coverage team allows a 5.5
yard average on 14 punt returns. So. Rickey Thenarse is the bullet for the
unit, and has delivered some crushing blows.
Unit Match-Ups
Nebraska's Offense vs.
Texas' DefenseOffensively, Nebraska has been seemingly stuck in
neutral since they played Ball State on September 22. QB Sam Keller hasn't
had a quality day since that game. Keller has been sacked twice in each of
the last three games, which has made it more difficult for Keller to get into a
rhythm. Keller hasn't been great at checking down his receivers and often
stares down one man. The Huskers' receivers are typically solid, other
than Maurice Purify; a difference maker has yet to emerge. In fact, RB
Marlon Lucky has been Keller's favorite target this season and caught 13 passes
against Texas A&M last week. Texas has a good defensive line that gets
after the QB and a ball hawking secondary. Nebraska has played against
poor pass defenses three consecutive weeks, and did not play well. The
Longhorns will be the best secondary the Huskers have seen in a while, and it
will likely be tough sledding to get a good passing game going. The
Longhorns are allowing their opponents to connect on 57.5% of their passes,
while Nebraska QB Sam Keller is completing 62.8% of his throws. Keller's
numbers have been slipping, and Texas it isn't expected that this week will turn
it around.
The Nebraska running game has been problematic since the
season opener, which means 7 straight games without a strong rushing
attack. Blocking has been the biggest reason why they can't get it going
on the ground, and it won't get any better this week with a pair of new starters
on the line. RB Marlon Lucky has seen his share of the carries diminish
over the past couple of weeks, as freshmen Quentin Castille and Roy Helu.
Castille and Helu have shown good field vision and will likely continue to see
more of the load. Texas is giving up just 2.8 yards per carry this season,
while Nebraska's running backs are averaging 4.7 yards per carry. The
Longhorns will likely be able to shut down the Nebraska running game without a
tremendous amount of trouble. Texas' defense is allowing opponents to
convert just 35% of their third down conversions, while also allowing a great
69% success rate in red-zone scoring. Nebraska is converting a
disappointing 44% of their third downs, and a continually declining 84% red-zone
scoring offense rate.
Up front, Nebraska's average offensive
lineman is 6'5", 313 lbs, while Texas' average defensive lineman comes in at
6'3", 284 lbs. With Nebraska breaking in a new freshman tackle, it will be
interesting to see how he stands up to the Texas ends. Nebraska's line has
not blocked well in any phase of the game, and Texas has been able to get good
penetration from their front four this year. The Huskers have given up 11
sacks and 43 tackles for loss this season, while Texas has earned 58 tackles for
loss and 18 sacks this season. Unless Nebraska's line improves radically,
Texas should have their way up front.
Texas' Offense vs.
Nebraska's DefenseThe Texas offense has done a very good job at
keeping balance this season. QB Colt McCoy has a very accurate arm, and
good mobility, however has taken a beating in the backfield this year. He
is completing nearly 67.3% of his passes, and is 76% in his last two
games. McCoy should be safe from too many hits this week, as Nebraska's
defense has not had a consistent pass rush all season long. Texas'
receivers are very good, even without the injured Limas Sweed. WR Nate
Jones is a great deep threat, and TE Jermichael Finley is another excellent
target. WR Quan Cosby is a great possession receiver that will pose the
Huskers' secondary trouble. With time to throw, McCoy should have a great
day.
The Texas run game has been pretty consistent this year, not a crew
that has been putting up tremendous amounts of yards, but has been effective
nevertheless. With Nebraska's inability to slow down an opposing ground
game, this could be a breakout game for RB Jamaal Charles. Last season,
Charles ran the ball 9 times for 63 yards, good enough for 7 yards per
carry. He should have a bigger day Saturday, and is likely to go over his
2007 per game average of 90.25. Nebraska has been missing many tackles and
with the quickness of the Longhorn backs, a couple of missed tackles and they're
gone. Nebraska allowed Oklahoma State to rush for 317 yards two weeks ago,
and Texas A&M to run for 359 yards last week. Texas' third down
conversion percentage is a pedestrian 47%, and a very average 79% red-zone
scoring average. The Nebraska defense has been awful on 3rd downs,
allowing opponents to convert on 47% of their attempts. They have also
allowed opponents to score on 89% of their red-zone opportunities.
Texas'
average offensive lineman is 6'5", 301 lbs, while Nebraska's average defensive
lineman comes in at 6'4", 284 lbs. The Longhorns' offensive line isn't a
great crew, but has done an adequate job this season. Teams have been able
to get penetration this season and get after QB Colt McCoy. Nebraska has
not been a particularly aggressive defense this season, rarely changing out of
their base 4-3 package, and hasn't blitzed often. After 8 games, Nebraska
has garnered 51 tackles for loss and just 8 sacks. At the same time, Texas
has allowed 41 tackles for loss and 14 sacks through 8 games. Nebraska's
defense is allowing an absurd 5.1 yards per carry this season and there aren't
any signs of it getting better. Texas is averaging 4.3 yards per carry and
should find plenty of running room this week.
Keys
to the GameFor Nebraska to Win:1.) Win
turnover battle. Zero takeaways in past three games.
2.) Form a pass
rush against a Texas line that has given up 14 sacks.
3.) New offensive
linemen must find a way to play well together quickly.
4.) Third down
conversion needs to improve dramatically.
5.) Eliminate careless
penalties. This has been a problem all year.
For Texas to
Win:1.) Out-physical the Nebraska front lines. Nebraska hasn't
performed well when they are hit hard.
2.) Get after Nebraska QB Sam
Keller. He has trouble against a good pass rush.
3.) Eliminate
turnovers. 3 turnovers last week against Baylor kept the Bears in the
game.
4.) Challenge the suspect Nebraska secondary, getting the ball to your
top playmakers.
5.) Cut down on penalties. 70 yards in penalties
against Baylor last week is too much.
Position
Advantages:Position/AdvantageQB:
TexasRB:
EvenWR/TE:
TexasOL:
TexasDL:
TexasLB:
TexasDB:
TexasSpecial Teams:
NebraskaCoaching:
TexasInjury ReportNebraska:DT -
Brandon Johnson - knee - questionable
LB - Blake Lawrence -
questionable
LB - Lance Brandenburg - questionable
LB - Phillip Dillard -
questionable
LB - Bo Ruud - knee - doubtful
C - Brett Byford - knee -
out
OT - Lydon Murtha - toe - out for season
OG - Andy Christensen - knee
- out for season
RB - Kenny Wilson - leg - out for
season
Texas:LB - Antwan Cobb - knee - out for season
DE -
Aaron Lewis - elbow - out indefinitely
FB - Luke Tiemann - wrist - out until
early November
WR - Limas Sweed - wrist - out for season
Game Breakdown & OutlookThis is the
12th meeting between Texas and Nebraska. The Longhorns hold a 7-4 all-time
record over the Huskers. Texas has won 3 in a row, and 6 of the last 7 in
the series. Last year in Lincoln, Nebraska was leading 20-19 with 2:17 4th
quarter. On a crucial 3rd and 3 at the Nebraska 36, QB Zac Taylor
completed a pass to WR Terrence Nunn at the 45, before Texas' Aaron Ross forced
a fumble, which was recovered by Marcus Griffin. Texas then drove to the
Nebraska 5, and hit a 22 yard field goal with 23 seconds left. Nebraska
had difficulty recovering after that loss last season. The last meeting in
Austin was in 2003 and saw the Longhorns beat down the Huskers 31-7 in an
uncompetitive game. Texas again appears to be a vastly superior team to
Nebraska and is likely to win handily. An interesting note in this series
is that no team has scored more than 31 in the previous 11
meetings.
Texas enters this game with a 6-2 record, 2-2 in Big XII
play. They had some early season struggles, but finished non-conference
schedule without a loss. Big XII play started with a pair of losses to
Kansas State and Oklahoma, before getting back on track with wins over Iowa
State and Baylor. Last week's game against Baylor, which finished 31-10
was much closer than the final score would appear. The game was at 17-10
midway through the 4th quarter, Baylor had the ball, but threw interceptions on
2 straight drives that led to 14 quick points for the Longhorns, securing the
victory. Baylor was able to play close with Texas, despite rushing for
just 8 yards. A win Saturday will help them with their record, but not
much else. They will need to win out and have Oklahoma lose twice to get
into the Big XII championship game. A loss would sting badly, and send the
Longhorns their third conference loss, which would be the most since 1997.
Nebraska enters Saturday's game in Austin with a 4-4 record, just
1-3 in Big XII play. Nebraska started off hot against Nevada, before
fizzling out. The defense started to show signs of being in trouble in
game 2 against Wake Forest, having issues with tackling and has since been
throttled offensively by just about everyone on the schedule. The offense
really wasn't exposed until the Iowa State game about a month ago, but since
then hasn't put much of anything together. Last week against Texas
A&M, the Huskers were competitive for the first half, down 16-14 at
halftime. The second half saw the Husker defense get blown up and the
offense sputter out on the way to a 36-14 loss. They showed some emotion
in the first half, but were completely flat in the second. Unless they
play four quarters of football, there isn't a team out there they can
beat. Amazingly, Nebraska has won 4 games this year, despite being
out-gained in 7 of their 8 games. An improbable win over Texas this
weekend could be what Nebraska needs to turn the season around, as they
desperately need wins to get bowl eligible. A loss would continue the
downward spiral they are on and would be the first time in Big XII history that
Nebraska would finish 0-3 against South division opponents. It would also
be the first winless October since 1948.
Nebraska's offense needs
to become less predictable. It has become easy for defensive coordinators
to prepare for situations, based on the personnel Nebraska sends on the
field. Nebraska has lacked a powerful front line and it probably won't
help this week that TFr. Jaivorio Burkes will get the start at RT, despite never
playing a single snap this season. When an opposing defense is able to get
into the Nebraska backfield, it is game over for the Husker offense. The
Huskers' QB Sam Keller is not a good scrambler and without that threat, teams
can pin their ears back and run over the Nebraska offense, neutralizing the rush
and pass. Nebraska will not win another game this season playing the way
are right now and time is short for improvements. Nebraska will need to
run the ball to have a chance this week, but the line just hasn't shown they can
put together four quarters of blocking. If Nebraska can't get Lucky,
Castille, Helu, or Glenn running effectively, this game will be another behind
the woodshed beating for a Husker team that has already had their share this
season.
Texas shouldn't have much of a problem putting points up on the
board Saturday. They hold match-up advantages with their quarterback and
receivers over the Nebraska secondary, and their offensive line and running
backs over the Nebraska front 7. Running lanes should be more frequent
than RB Jamaal Charles has seen this season. Nebraska's defense has been
easily fooled by misdirection plays and fakes, so it isn't out of the question
for QB Colt McCoy to make a few plays with his feet. While McCoy doesn't
have great speed, he has enough to keep Nebraska frustrated. Look for
McCoy to have a solid day through the air against Nebraska's less than stellar
defensive backfield. If he is able to throw with the precision he has over
the past few weeks, the game could be out of hand by halftime. Jones,
Finley, and Cosby should all have a great day. Nebraska's defense is
possibly the worst in their school history, and teams have been taking
advantage. Texas will do the same.
Texas isn't the force they have
been in recent history, but Nebraska doesn't have the desire or leadership to
take advantage. Nebraska will have to play mistake free football just to
be close at the end of the game, and will have to have a lot of things bounce
their way for them to be in contention to win. Nebraska appears to have
cashed their chips in this season, and hasn't appeared interested in winning
football games since they came from behind to beat Ball State back in
September. Texas plays together and is sound in football
fundamentals. Look for the Longhorns to put away the Huskers in the 2nd
and 3rd quarters, giving head coach Mack Brown win #100 at Texas.
Nebraska - 17
Texas - 41