Vince Campisi's College Football Game
Preview
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Virginia Tech
Hokies09/26/08
--by Vince
CampisiGAME FOUR
September 27,
2008
7:00 PM CT
Lincoln, NE
Television Coverage:
ABCVIRGINIA TECH
(3 - 1) (2 - 0)
VS
NEBRASKA (3 - 0) (0 -
0)Gametime
WeatherWeather
Report for Nebraska vs. Virginia TechLatest
Line - Nebraska by 7.
Schedules/ResultsVirginia Tech08/30/08 - at. East Carolina - L
22-27
09/06/08 - vs. Furman - W 24-7
09/13/08 - vs. Georgia Tech - W
20-17
09/20/08 - at. North Carolina - W 20-17
09/27/08 - at.
Nebraska
10/04/08 - vs. Western Kentucky
10/18/08 - at. Boston
College
10/25/08 - at. Florida State
11/06/08 - vs. Maryland
11/13/08 -
at. Miami (FL)
11/22/08 - vs. Duke
11/29/08 - vs. Virginia
Nebraska08/30/08 - vs. Western Michigan -
W 47-24
09/06/08 - vs. San Jose State - W 35-12
09/13/08 - vs. New Mexico
State - W 38-7
09/27/08 - vs. Virginia Tech
10/04/08 - vs.
Missouri
10/11/08 - at. Texas Tech
10/18/08 - at. Iowa State
10/25/08 -
vs. Baylor
11/01/08 - at. Oklahoma
11/08/08 - vs. Kansas
11/15/08 - at.
Kansas State
11/10/08 - vs. Colorado
Player
BreakdownsVirginia Tech OffenseVirginia
Tech's offense hasn't been good this season, unable to mount many scoring
drives. After playing four games, the Hokies rank 112th nationally in
total offense (271.75 ypg), 114th in passing (99.0 ypg), 112th in passing
efficiency (93.89 rating), 45th rushing (172.75 ypg), 86th scoring offense (21.5
ppg), and 10th in turnover margin (+1.50 mrg).
QB: So.
Tyrod Taylor (24 of 40, 199 yds, 2 INTs) starts for the Hokies, after starting
the season expecting to red-shirt. Taylor assumed the starting role in
game three after Sr. Sean Glennon (18 of 32, 197 yds, 1 TD, 3 INTs) failed to
consistently put points on the board. Taylor is a dual-threat QB, but will
tend to beat you more with his feet than his arm. He has rushed for 221
yards and a touchdown on 41 attempts. Taylor has completed 60% of his
passes this season, with a poor 91.8 pass efficiency rating. Taylor tends
to hang a few passes up in each game that can be easily picked off. He
doesn't throw a very crisp ball, and has somewhat of an awkward throwing
motion. He went down with an ankle injury last week, but after being taped
up, appeared to be fine. Glennon has a slightly better arm than Taylor,
but doesn't have the foot speed. With the inaccurate passing from the
QB's, the offense has become very stagnant.
RB: Jr. Kenny Lewis
Jr. (40 carries, 149 yds, 3 TDs) and RFr. Darren Evans (56 carries, 264 yds, 4
TDs) split carries as the top backs for the Hokies. Evans runs with power,
never stopping his legs while moving forward, he can be a bear to bring
down. Lewis doesn't run with that same authority, but is more shifty, and
better on the perimeter. Overall, a solid tandem that works well with QB
Tyrod Taylor in establishing a solid ground game. These backs have really
stepped up after expected starter, Brandon Ore, was kicked off the team in the
off-season. Lewis has caught 5 passes for 30 yards and a touchdown, while
Evans has grabbed 2 passes for 11 yards this season. There is another
group of backs that have seen limited carries behind Evans and Lewis, however,
aren't likely to factor much into the game. At FB is Jr. Kenny Jefferson
(1 carry, 2 yds). At just 5'9", 209lbs., he isn't a typical big bruising
fullback, but is a solid blocker.
WR/TE: The Hokies have a
very young group of receivers after losing their top 4 wide-outs from last
season. Starters are RFr. Danny Coale (8 catches, 84 yds) at split end and
TFr. Dyrell Roberts (6 catches, 119 yds) at flanker. Coale was very good
last week against North Carolina, proving to be the most dependable receiver for
the Hokies during their comeback. Roberts is the team's best deep threat,
averaging 19.8 yards per catch, however, doesn't have a touchdown to his
name. Top reserves at receiver include TFr. Jarrett Boykin (3 catches, 36
yds) at split end and TFr. Xavier Boyce (1 catch, 7 yds) at flanker. Boyce
has an injured knee and has sat out the past two games. It is likely he'll
miss this week's game as well. Sr. DB Victor "Macho" Harris (2 catches, 8
yds) is also getting into the mix at wide-out this season. He’s an
excellent athlete that is finding his way into the rotation due to the youth and
inexperience for the Hokies at receiver. At TE is Jr. Greg Boone (5
catches, 32 yds). Boone is a lineman-like TE, standing at 6'3",
280lbs. Behind Boone is So. Andre Smith (4 catches, 37 yds) and RFr. Chris
Drager (2 catches, 23 yds). What is quite odd to see, is a team that has
played four games and is yet to have a wide receiver or tight end catch a
touchdown pass. That isn't a knock on the receivers so much, however, but
mostly to the lacking throwing arms of the QB's.
OL: Virginia
Tech's offensive line is full of experience, returning three starters from last
season, and has improved from a year ago. The line is allowing for an
average of 4 yards per rush, also giving up 9 sacks and 25 tackles for loss this
season. Starting at left tackle is Jr. Ed Wang (6'5", 310 lbs), and
starting at right tackle is RFr. Blake DeChristopher (6'5", 299 lbs). Wang
is probably the second best blocker on this unit (behind Render), while
DeChristopher is still getting his feet wet as a new starter. RFr. Greg
Nosal (6'6", 281 lbs) and Jr. Richard Graham (6'6", 284 lbs) are the top
reserves at tackle. Starting at guard is Sr. Nick Marshman (6'5", 339 lbs)
on the left and Jr. Sergio Render (6'3", 308 lbs) on the right. Render is
the best of this offensive line and is one of the better guards in the
ACC. Marshman has a team-best starting streak of 18 straight games.
Top back-ups at guard are Jr. Hivera Green (6'3", 304 lbs) and RFr. Jaymes
Brooks (6'2", 304 lbs). At center is two-year starter Sr. Ryan Shuman
(6'2", 291 lbs), with So. Beau Warren (6'3", 302 lbs) serving as his
back-up. Shuman is a quality blocker, had some knee troubles that kept him
from starting every game last season, but he's been 100% so far this
season.
Virginia Tech DefenseVirginia Tech's defense
isn't as experienced as they have been in the past, but defensive coordinator
Bud Foster always puts a solid defense on the field. Through four games,
they rank 53rd nationally in total defense (327.50 ypg), 43rd pass defense
(184.25 ypg), 84th pass efficiency defense (129.98 rating), 72nd rush defense
(143.3 ypg), 32nd in scoring defense (17 ppg), 4th in fumbles recovered (7), and
4th in interceptions (7). The Hokies' ball hawking efforts have really
helped the team to their current 3-1 record.
DL: Virginia Tech's
defensive front has had to replace three of the four base starters from last
season. Despite that, they have still been pretty solid, even into the
two-deep. While the unit hasn't been tough as nails against the run, they
have done a nice job of getting to the opposing QB. Through four games,
they are allowing 4 yards per carry, while picking up 4 sacks and 18
hurries. Starting on the ends is So. Jason Worilds (14 tackles, 1 sack, 6
QBH) on the left and Sr. Orion Martin (13 tackles, 2 sacks, 1 FF, 1 QBH) on the
right. Worilds and Martin do a great job of getting into the backfield and
have teamed up for 8.5 tackles for loss and 3 sacks this season. Top
reserves at defensive end are So. Steven Friday (6 tackles, 1 QBH) and Jr. Nekos
Brown (9 tackles, 1 sack, 3 QBH). Both Brown and Friday have played very
well this season, with Brown showing good speed off the edge last week against
North Carolina. Starters at defensive tackle are So. John Graves (7
tackles, 1 FF, 1 FR, 4 QBH, 2 PBU) and Jr. Cordarrow Thompson (5 tackles, 2 QBH,
2 PBU). Graves has been a beast on the line, and is a special teams
phenom, blocking 3 kicks this season. Jr. Demetrius Taylor (5 tackles, 1
FR, 1 QBH) serves as the top back-up, and gets plenty of playing
time.
LB: The Virginia Tech linebacking corps has been
better than expected after replacing two NFL talents, Xavier Adibi and Vince
Hall. Starting at the two inside linebacker positions are Seniors Brett
Warren (35 tackles, 1 FF, 3 QBH) and Pernell Sturdivant (28 tackles, 1 sack, 4
PBU). Both are sure-tacklers, but Warren has been the most impressive,
showing good movement despite not having great top end speed. In run
support these two have been very good, but could do better a better job in pass
coverage. Reserves at inside linebacker include Sr. Jonas Houseright (3
tackles) and RFr. Barquell Rivers (5 tackles, 1 QBH). At Whip LB is Jr.
Cam Martin (19 tackles, 1 sack, 1 FF), with Jr. Cody Grimm (17 tackles, 1 sack,
1 INT, 1 FF, 1 QBH, 1 PBU) backing him up. Martin is a returning starter from
last year, and has played well, while Grimm has also been solid, making great
plays on the field. This group of linebackers, barring injury,
should end up finishing as one of the most productive units in the ACC this
season.
DB: The Hokies' secondary is fairly average, however,
includes one of the best cornerbacks in the nation. Opponents are
completing 60% of their passes with an average completion of 12.5 yards per
reception, numbers too high for this group. Starting at boundary
cornerback is Sr. Victor "Macho" Harris (11 tackles, 1 INT, 1 FR, 3 PBU), and
Jr. Stephan Virgil (20 tackles, 2 INTs, 1 FR, 6 PBU) starts at field
cornerback. Harris is one of the nation's top corners and doesn't get beat
in coverage very often. He intercepted a late pass against North Carolina
last week to help secure victory for his team. Virgil is also an excellent
corner that has seen a lot of plays come his way as opponents try to avoid
throwing towards Harris. Top reserves at corner are So. Rashad Carmichael
(4 tackles, 4 PBU) and RFr. Chris Hill (6 tackles). Starting at free
safety is Jr. Kam Chancellor (17 tackles, 1 FF, 1 FR), with TFr. Lorenzo
Williams (3 tackles) serving as the top back-up. Chancellor started at
rover last season, however, made the switch to FS in the off-season and has done
well at the safety spot. At rover is So. Davon Morgan (16 tackles, 1 FR, 1
QBH), with Jr. Dorian Porch (5 tackles, 2 PBU) serving as the top reserve.
Morgan and Porch are both fairly even in their level of play, however, Morgan
has the most upside as his career goes forward.
Virginia Tech
Special TeamsVirginia Tech's special teams play hasn't been great
statistically, but they have been solid. Virginia Tech has blocked at
least one kick in three of their four games. The Hokies currently rank
63rd in net punting (34.19 yd avg), 62nd in punt returns (9.4 yd avg), and 106th
in kickoff returns (17.27 yd avg).
K: Sr. Dustin Keys handles
field goals and extra points for the Hokies. He has made 5 of his 6 field
goal attempts, with a long of 45. Keys has kicked two game winning field
goals for the Hokies this season, making him a valuable asset. TFr. Justin
Myer is the kickoff specialist, pushing 4 of his 15 kickoffs for touchback and a
66.5 yard average.
P: Jr. Brent Bowden is an excellent punter,
however, isn't putting up quite the numbers he did a season ago (42.5 yd
avg). This season, he is averaging 39.4 yards on 20 punts with a long of
55. 6 of his 20 punts have been downed inside the opponents'
20.
KR/PR: Virginia Tech's kickoff return unit consists of Jr.
Kenny Lewis Jr. (7 kick returns, 17.7 yd avg, 35 yd long) and So. Davon Morgan
(3 kick returns, 20 yd avg, 29 yd long). Top punt returnman is Sr. Victor
Harris (5 punt returns, 9.4 yd avg, 17 yd long). He does many things for
this team and can be a dangerous threat as a returner. However, he made
some mistakes last week by letting a few punts go by him, which ended up putting
the offense in unfavorable starting positions.
Coverage: The
Hokies' kick coverage team has been solid, allowing an average of 17.2 yards on
14 kickoff return attempts. Considering that on average the ball has been
getting just inside the 4 yard line, that is a very good number. The punt
coverage team could be better, allowing an average of 8.3 yards per return off
of 6 punts.
Nebraska OffenseThe Nebraska offense
has the ability to be one of the better groups nationally, but hasn’t quite
found a high level of consistency yet. After three games, Nebraska ranks
20th nationally in total offense (450.33 ypg), 27th in passing (261.30 ypg),
17th in pass efficiency (155.96 rating), 37th in rushing (189 ypg), 16th in
scoring offense (40 ppg), and 46th in turnover margin (+0.33 mrg).
QB: Sr. Joe Ganz (50 for 78, 719 yds, 5 TDs, 3 INTs) shows
flashes of excellent play each week, both through the air and on the
ground. However, he still has to prove he can be consistent
week-to-week. He wasn't asked to do much through the air in his last
outing against New Mexico State, throwing just 17 passes, as the offense got it
done predominantly on the ground. Ganz has showcased his foot-speed this
season, and against NMSU he rushed for a 33 yard touchdown on an option.
Overall, he has rushed for 105 yards and one touchdown on 17 carries this
season. Ganz showed good hands against NMSU as well, catching a 20 yard
touchdown pass from RB Marlon Lucky. Behind Ganz is RFr. Patrick Witt (4
for 6, 40 yds) and So. Zac Lee (1 for 2, 5 yds). Witt has struggled in
mop-up duty, fumbling two snaps against NMSU, helping the Aggies to their only
score.
RB: Nebraska has an excellent and deep group of running
backs. They were finally able to see daylight in their last game, and as a
group rushed for 243 yards on 35 carries. Sr. Marlon Lucky (34 carries,
169 yds, 4 TDs), So. Roy Helu Jr. (23 carries, 143 yds, 1 TD), and So. Quentin
Castille (22 carries, 105 yds, 1 TD) are considered co-number 1's. Lucky
is the most complete back of the trio, and even threw for a touchdown pass
against NMSU. Lucky is now fourth all-time in total offense yards in
Nebraska history. Helu Jr. has a good combination of hard running, leaping
and cutting ability. Castille is the strongest runner of the group, and
not afraid to take a defender head-on. RFr. Marcus Mendoza (5 carries, 45
yds) is the team's fourth option that is an excellent flash back, showing
excellent quickness. Lucky (5 catches, 56 yds, 1 TD) is the best
pass-catching running back in college football, and should start seeing more
passes come his way, especially if the Huskers have trouble running
north-south. Castille (4 catches, 61 yds), Helu Jr. (3 catches, 48 yds),
and Mendoza (1 catch, 0 yd) have also caught passes this season. At FB,
Sr. Thomas Lawson (1 catch, 4 yds) will once again be out due to his removed
appendix. He is backed up by So. Justin Makovicka, however, Quentin
Castille performed fullback duties against NMSU.
WR/TE: Nebraska has a solid group of receivers, but in the
past two games, they have done more blocking than receiving. They are up
against a good secondary again this week and will likely be asked to do more
through the air. Sr. Nate Swift (12 catches, 201 yds, 2 TDs) starts at
"X", and is Ganz's top threat in this offense. He has the hands to be a
possession receiver, but the speed and size to be a deep threat as well.
He is just 28 receptions away from breaking Heisman Trophy winner Johnny
Rodgers' career record mark of 143 catches. Starting at "Z" is Sr. Todd
Peterson (11 catches, 127 yds), a durable player that has great hands. Top
back-ups at "X" are Jr. Menelik Holt (7 catches, 83 yds), So. Will Henry, and
Jr. Chris Brooks. Holt has big play ability, and is also a great, physical
blocker. Top reserves at "Z" are So. Niles Paul (3 catches, 37 yds) and
RFr. Curenski Gilleylen. Paul and Gilleylen are Nebraska's speedsters, but
in their reserve roles, haven't seen much come their way. At TE is So.
Mike McNeill (3 catches, 60 yds, 2 TDs) and So. Dreu Young (1 catch, 55 yds),
with Sr. Hunter Teafatiller (3 catches, 27 yds) and RFr. Ryan Hill as the top
pair of back-ups. McNeill had an acrobatic flip over a defender for a
touchdown two weeks ago against NMSU.
OL: Nebraska’s
offensive line had their best outing of the season against NMSU two weeks
ago. Whether their better play was because they were playing against a
3-3-5 defense that lacked experience, or because starting tackle Lydon Murtha
was back from injury will be answered this week against the Hokies. This
season, the line is allowing their backfield to gain just 5.4 yards per carry,
which rose from 3.9 after their last game. Starting at tackle is So. Mike
Smith (6'6", 285 lbs) on the left and Sr. Lydon Murtha (6'7", 315 lbs) on the
right. Murtha seemed to give a boost to the line after returning from
injury two weeks ago. So. Jaivorio Burkes (6'5", 325 lbs) is the top
reserve at LT, while RFr. Marcel Jones (6'7", 310 lbs) is the top back-up at
RT. Both have played very well when given their opportunities.
Burkes has starting experience and plays often behind Smith. Starting at
left guard is Sr. Mike Huff (6'4", 300 lbs), while Sr. Matt Slauson (6'5", 320
lbs) starts at right guard. Guard play was improved against NMSU after
struggling in the first two games. So. Keith Williams (6'5", 305 lbs.) and
So. D.J. Jones (6'5", 305 lbs) are Nebraska's top reserves at guard, with
Williams seeing the most action between the two of them behind Huff. Jr.
Jacob Hickman (6'4", 290 lbs) starts at center, with RFr. Mike Caputo (6'1", 275
lbs.) backing him up. The interior line is the weakness of the line, but
will look to build off of a solid performance against
NMSU.
Nebraska DefenseNebraska's defense looked very
good in their last outing, against a solid New Mexico State offense.
However, consistency from week to week has been an issue, and continued
improvement will be key for the unit. After playing three games, the
Huskers rank 63rd nationally in total defense (347.33 ypg), 102nd pass defense
(269.67 ypg), 44th pass efficiency defense (109.38 rating), 18th rush defense
(77.70 ypg), 22nd scoring defense (14.3 ppg), 92nd in fumbles recovered (1), and
13th in interceptions (5).
DL: Nebraska’s defensive line has been
a rock for the first three games. Opponents are averaging 2.6 yards per
rush this season, an incredible improvement over last year's 5.2 yard per rush
average. After losing top open end, Sr. Barry Turner (3 tackles, 1 sack)
for the season to a broken leg in game two, So. Pierre Allen (14 tackles, 1 PBU)
has taken over. Allen has played well, however, suffered an injury in his
first start two weeks ago. After resting for a week, he returned to
practice this week and is ready to go. Behind Allen is TFr. Cameron
Meredith. Sr. Zach Potter (9 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 INT, 2 QBH, 2 PBU, 1
BK) starts at base end, and is arguably the most complete player on the
line. Sr. Clayton Sievers (2 tackles, 1 QBH) is the top reserve at base
end behind Potter. Starting at nose tackle is Jr. Ndamukong Suh (13
tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FF, 1 QBH, 1 PBU), with Sr. Shukree Barfield (4
tackles, 1 sack) and RFr. Terrence Moore (6 tackles, 2 sacks) backing him
up. He is a great athlete for a big man, and is tough to stop
one-on-one. Sr. Ty Steinkuhler (14 tackles, 2 QBH) starts at defensive
tackle, with RFr. Jared Crick (1 tackle, 1 PBU) listed as his top back-up.
Steinkuhler has been a stalwart in the middle, really playing well now that he
is healthy.
LB: Nebraska started three new linebackers this
season, and the group appears to be much better than what the Huskers had last
year. They have been playing with a lot of energy, and are tackling
well. Jr. Phillip Dillard (17 tackles, 0.5 sack, 1 QBH) is the starter at
MLB, and is the leader of this defense. Dillard succeeds in just about
every area on the football field, moves well, and leads the team in assisted
tackles (13). Behind Dillard is TFr. Will Compton and Jr. Colton Koehler
(2 tackles). Koehler saw his first snap at LB last week, while Compton has
yet to get on the field this season. Sr. Cody Glenn (21 tackles, 1 FF, 2
QBH, 3 PBU) starts at WLB after converting from RB in the off-season. He
plays with a high level of enthusiasm, flies to the ball, and has been the
team's top tackler. So. Blake Lawrence (2 tackles) is Glenn's top reserve,
seeing his first snaps of the season last week. Starting at buck is Sr.
Tyler Wortman (2 tackles), with TFr. Sean Fisher and So. Latravis Washington
serving as his back-ups. Nebraska has been playing in a lot of nickel and
dime packages against their spread offense opponents, which has kept the buck
spot off the field for much of the game. They are expected to go more to
their base 4-3 defense this week against Virginia Tech.
DB:
Nebraska’s secondary has been giving up a lot of yards between the 20's, but has
played very well inside the red-zone. They will get two injured players
back this week, which should provide a nice boost for the unit. Sr.
Armando Murillo (14 tackles, 1 INT, 2 PBU) is the starter at LCB, with So. Eric
Hagg (17 tackles, 1 FF, 1 FR, 1 QBH, 4 PBU) and TFr. Alfonzo Dennard backing him
up. Murillo is the most veteran player in the secondary, and has been
solid since returning from injury a few weeks ago. Hagg is playing very
well, especially considering his youth and inexperience. So. Anthony West
(6 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT, 2 PBU) starts at RCB, with So. Prince Amukamara (17
tackles, 1 QBH, 2 PBU) and So. Lance Thorell (8 tackles) serving as his
back-ups. West is ready to go this week after missing the New Mexico State
game with injury. Like Hagg, Amukamara has performed very well in his
first few games of real action. At safety, Jr. Larry Asante (14 tackles, 1
PBU) starts at SS, with Jr. Major Culbert (1 tackle) backing him up.
Asante needs to do a better job of looking back for the ball and making plays on
it. He gets beat far too often. Jr. Rickey Thenarse and Sr. Matt
O'Hanlon (12 tackles, 1 INT, 1 QBH, 3 PBU) share the top spot at FS on the depth
chart, and now that Thenarse is back from injury, it should strengthen the
defensive backfield. O'Hanlon has been decent, but has given up some big
plays, and does not have the athleticism of Thenarse.
Nebraska
Special TeamsNebraska's special teams have been good this
season. The return game and kicking game has been solid, but punting,
which was expected to be a strength, hasn't been consistent enough. The
Huskers rank 77th in net punting (33.44 yd avg), 56th in punt returns (9.86 yd
avg), and 27th in kickoff returns (23.91 yd avg).
K: So.
Alex Henery (5 for 6, 44 yd lng) is dependable, however, had his first career
miss against New Mexico State, from just 35 yards. So. Adi Kunalic handles
kickoffs and extra-long field goals because of his outstanding leg
strength. Kunalic has one of the strongest legs in the country, and has
pushed 10 of 23 kickoffs for touchback this season, with an excellent 67.8 yard
average.
P: Sr. Dan Titchener has shown a strong and
accurate leg through his career, but hasn't had a strong start to this
season. He is averaging 38.6 yards on 9 punts with a long of 54. 2
of his 8 punts have been downed inside the opponents' 20.
KR/PR: Nebraska’s kick return team is made up of So. Niles Paul (6
returns, 31.5 yard avg, 1 TD), Jr. Larry Asante (2 returns, 15.5 yard avg), and
TFr. Alfonzo Dennard (2 returns, 10.5 yard avg). At punt returner is So.
Niles Paul (4 returns, 13.2 yard avg) and Sr. Nate Swift (3 returns, 5.3 yard
avg). Paul is the best threat, and has already returned a kickoff for a
touchdown this season.
Coverage: Nebraska’s coverage teams appear
to be improving through the team's first three games. The kick coverage
unit is allowing an average of 25.9 yards on 13 kickoff returns, while the punt
return coverage team is allowing an average of just 5.2 yards on 5 punt returns.
Unit
Match-UpsNebraska's Offense vs. Virginia Tech's
DefenseNebraska's passing game can be exceptional when running on
all cylinders, however, really hasn't been a big focal point for the past two
games. QB Joe Ganz threw 36 passes in the season opener, but has thrown
only 42 passes total in the last two games. This week, up against the best
defense he's seen this season, Ganz will likely be called to make a few more
plays with his arm. Ganz likes to bootleg out, and buy himself a few extra
seconds to make a throw. Often, he makes better throws on the run than he
does in the pocket. Top wide-out Nate Swift is likely to be matched up
against Virginia Tech star CB Victor Harris, which will be a fun battle to
watch. It is likely that the ball will be thrown away from Harris, and a
lot of short to intermediate slant passes might prove to be successful.
Before North Carolina's starting QB got hurt in the second half, the Tar Heels
were able to get some nice gains from those slant patterns against the Hokie
defense. Look for some of the more athletic Nebraska receivers such as
Menelik Holt or Niles Paul to get passes this way, and try to get yards after
catch. North Carolina also had success with simple out routes, something
that Nebraska WR Todd Peterson does very well. Virginia Tech's defensive
backfield isn't one of the nation's best, but has some solid talent back there
that can make plays. The linebackers are fair in coverage, but really
excel at not allowing much gained after catch. Ganz likely won't be able
to pick apart the Hokies and will have to spread it around to multiple receivers
and not lock on, because this defense has a tendency to get interceptions
(7). With FS Kam Chancellor at 6'4", he'll have an advantage over most of
the Nebraska receivers in any jump ball situation. RB Marlon Lucky saw few
catches in his last game, and is dangerous in the open field. He should be
a big asset for the Husker offense on Saturday. Virginia Tech is allowing
opponents to complete a high 60.8% of their passes, while Nebraska's QB Joe Ganz
is completing 64.1% of his attempts this season.
Nebraska's ground
game was not very good in the first two games of the season. Despite one
of the most talented groups of running backs in the Big XII, the offensive line
just wasn't paving way for much room up front. Against New Mexico State,
however, the run game was exceptional (330 rushing yards). Of course, the
Aggies' run defense is not great, and they play with a speed-over-size defense,
so that is likely a big part of why the Huskers ran with such ease. While
the Hokies certainly possess the best defense the Huskers have faced this year,
they are giving up 4 yards per carry. That is slightly inflated due to
allowing 5.6 yards per carry to Georgia Tech. North Carolina averaged just
3.2 yards per carry last week though, against the Hokies. The Virginia
Tech linebackers aren't the biggest or the fastest guys around, but do hit hard
and tackle well. Expect plenty of 8 man fronts to try to shut the Husker
run game down, forcing them to make plays in the air. The Hokies do have a
good chance to shut down the Nebraska run game, as the Huskers were less than
150 yards rushing in each of their first two games. The question will be
if Nebraska's new found life on the ground against New Mexico State will carry
over this week. With a group of running backs that includes Marlon Lucky,
Roy Helu Jr., and Quentin Castille, it shouldn't decline too much.
However, it all depends on which team will dominate the line of scrimmage.
Nebraska QB Joe Ganz has shown himself to be a nice rushing weapon this season,
and the occasional called options aren't likely to disappear anytime soon for
the offense. The Hokies' defense is allowing their opponents to convert a
high 42% of their third downs (80th nationally), and allowing them to score on
70% of their red-zone chances (5 of 7 scores being touchdowns). Three
games into their season, Nebraska is converting 41% of their third downs, and
after three failed red-zone attempts last week (missed FG, 2 turnover on downs),
they have slipped to 80% red-zone offense (10 TDs, 2 FGs). Nebraska's
struggle to run well inside the 10 last week is a concern, and must
improve.
Sizing up the lines, Nebraska's average offensive lineman is
6'5", 302 lbs, while Virginia Tech's average defensive lineman is 6'2", 274
lbs. Other than 303 lb. tackle Cordarrow Thompson, this isn't a big
defensive front. They do a good job of getting into the backfield,
however, and will face a talented Nebraska offensive line this week.
Nebraska's weakness on the line is at guard and center. How they handle
Thompson and John Graves will be critical to the success of the run game.
Nebraska is averaging 5.4 yards per carry, while Virginia Tech is giving up 4
yards per carry this season. Offensive tackles Lydon Murtha, Mike Smith,
and Jaivorio Burkes will have a good challenge in pass protection this week
against Hokie ends Jason Worilds, Orion Martin, and Nekos Brown. The
Husker tackles are the strength of the line, and will try to keep Joe Ganz
upright against the aggressive Bud Foster coached defense. Nebraska has
given up 3 sacks and allowed 22 tackles for loss on the year. Virginia
Tech has picked up 7 sacks and 22 tackles for loss through four games this
season.
Virginia Tech's Offense vs. Nebraska's
DefenseVirginia Tech isn't scaring anyone with their passing
game. A young, inexperienced receiving corps coupled with a pair of QB's
that have not done much to impress with their arms this season isn't a great
combination. QB's Tyrod Taylor and Sean Glennon need to perform at a
higher level for the Hokies' offense to succeed, especially when faced against
the tougher defenses on the schedule. Glennon will likely only play if
Taylor is really struggling or gets injured. Taylor relies much on his
legs to make plays, whether it be running the football or throwing on the
move. His biggest threat is his escapability and foot speed, while his arm
has been lackluster to this point. He has completed 60% of his passes this
season, while Nebraska's defense is allowing opponents to complete 56.9% of
their passes. Taylor's 60% seems solid until you see that his average
completion is for just over 8 yards, and much of those yards come after the
catch. He hasn't gone deep too often, but when he does, it hasn't been
very pretty, tending to hang in the air a bit too much. The Hokies have
had real trouble getting big plays through the air, amassing just 3 passes of
over 20 yards in four games. Nebraska's defense has faced some good
passing offenses this season, and has given up some big chunks of yards to
them. The young secondary is getting better every game, however, and has
done an excellent job in the red-zone. It will be interesting to see how
much emphasis is placed on the passing game for the Hokies this week.
Considering Nebraska's defense is likely to load the box and force Taylor to
throw the ball, he will have to be better this week. Statistically,
Nebraska has faced better QB's and WR's in their first three games than they
will line up against Saturday night. Even though the Husker secondary has
been giving up a lot of yards this season, it is hard to imagine Taylor making
great strides in just one week to become a lights-out field general. With
the Huskers playing better each week, and getting 2 of their top DB's back in
the mix this week, they should be able to do a good job of shutting down the
passing game of Virginia Tech.
The Hokies' run game is definitely
the strength of the offense. Between young and talented RB's Darren Evans
and Kenny Lewis, to the mobile QB Tyrod Taylor, Virginia Tech has relied on the
ground game to get the offense going forward. Evans has been particularly
impressive as of late, averaging 4.7 yards per carry this season. Evans
has shown that he is hard to bring down, and keeps the first down sticks moving
with his powerful running style. Taylor has good wheels, but had a
mountain of trouble against North Carolina last week, unable to pick up key
first downs with his feet. He seems to struggle with knowing when and
where to take cuts to get the most out of a carry. Taylor is, however, a
great runner once in the open field, and it is important for a defense to keep
him in containment. Nebraska has been stingy against the run, and will set
the stage for a great battle down in the trenches. The Huskers have faced
just one mobile QB this season in San Jose State's Kyle Reed and held him to
just 2.1 yards per carry. The Huskers have played a lot of spread offense
this season, and have been in a lot of nickel and dime sets. Being able to
run more of their base 4-3 this week should allow for better ground game
control. Because no one has really tried to grind on the defensive front
of Nebraska this year, it is hard to say how successful the Hokies can be on the
ground Saturday. Virginia Tech's third down is converting a poor 35%, with
a decent 75% red-zone scoring average (8 TDs, 4 FGs) this season.
Nebraska's defense is allowing opponents to convert on 38% of their 3rd down
attempts, and has allowed a stifling 57% red-zone scoring percentage this
season.
Up front, Virginia Tech's average offensive lineman is
6'4", 310 lbs, and Nebraska's average defensive lineman comes in at 6'5", 283
lbs. Virginia Tech hasn't had outstanding offensive line output, but they
will present the largest line Nebraska has faced this season. The
offensive line will need to consistently open running lanes for the backs if the
Hokies are to win this game. Nebraska has been stoic against the run, but
hasn't really been tested in that department by their three previous
opponents. How the Nebraska front seven reacts to four quarters of a
pounding run game will be something to watch. Of course, if the Hokie
passing game isn't improved, it might not be too difficult for Nebraska's
defense to shut down a one dimensional Virginia Tech offense. Virginia
Tech is averaging 4 yards per carry, while Nebraska is allowing just 2.6 yard
per carry so far this season. The Hokies have allowed 25 tackles for loss
and 9 sacks in four games this season, while Nebraska has accumulated 21 tackles
for loss and 9 sacks in three games. There are going to be compelling
match-ups on Saturday at nearly every spot on the line, especially the interior
line. With Nebraska tackles Ndamukong Suh and Ty Steinkuhler playing so
well, the Hokies' Ryan Shuman, Sergio Render, and Nick Marshman will have a
battle on their hands. Definitely will be fun to watch these lines face
off.
Keys to the GameFor
Nebraska to Win:
1.) Bottle up the Hokie run game - force Tyrod
Taylor to beat you with his arm.
2.) Avoid penalties - 25 penalties
for 204 yards in three games is not satisfactory. The Huskers rank as the
9th most penalized team in the nation.
3.) Shorten 3rd downs - the
Husker offense faces too many 3rd and long situations.
4.) Better
red-zone offense - Nebraska performed well in the red-zone in their first two
games, but was not very good against New Mexico State. Against a team like
Virginia Tech, when you get into the red-zone, points have to come from those
drives.
5.) Don't allow Tyrod Taylor to run wild - if he breaks
containment often, he can put up big numbers on the ground.
For
Virginia Tech to Win:
1.) Develop some sort of passing threat - if
Taylor or Glennon can't get the job done through the air, the NU defense can
just load up the box and shut down the run game.
2.) Fill the gaps -
stuff the Husker run game and see if the defense can force some turnovers in the
passing game.
3.) Win the turnover battle - the Hokies are 3-0 when
coming out ahead in turnover margin.
4.) Touchdowns over field goals -
against a powerful Nebraska offense, if they are clicking, the Hokie offense has
to be able to put it in the endzone more often than settling for kicking through
the uprights.
5.) Quick start - the Hokies have yet to score any
points in the first quarter, while Nebraska has rattled off 35 total first
quarter points in their three games.
Position
Advantages:Position/
AdvantageQBs:
NebraskaRBs:
NebraskaWR/TE's:
NebraskaOL:
NebraskaDL:
NebraskaLB:
EvenDB:
Virginia
TechSpecial Teams:
EvenCoaching:
Virginia
TechInjury
ReportNebraska:
CB - Anthony Blue - knee - out
indefinitely
DE - Barry Turner - leg - out for season
FB - Thomas Lawson -
appendix - out for game
Virginia Tech:
DE - Bruce Taylor -
shoulder - questionable
WR - Xavier Boyce - knee - doubtful
Final OutlookSaturday will be just the
second all-time meeting between Virginia Tech and Nebraska. The last time
these two teams met was in the 1996 Orange Bowl. Nebraska wore down the
Hokies and rattled off 17 unanswered second half points to get a 41-21
victory. These teams are obviously quite different than their 1996
counterparts. Nebraska is on their 3rd head coach since that game, while
Virginia Tech still has Frank Beamer at the helm. Saturday's game will be
played a 7:00 P.M. Central time at Lincoln's Memorial Stadium. Nebraska is
28-3 in night games at Memorial Stadium, an impressive statistic.
Virginia Tech enters Saturday night's game with a 3-1
record. After a disappointing loss to East Carolina in the season opener,
the Hokies have bounced back nicely, winning three straight. They haven't
been pretty wins, but at the end of the day, a win is a win. Last week
against North Carolina, Virginia Tech overcame a 17-3 second half deficit to get
the win 20-17. The Hokies were helped out by some penalties, a pair of
late turnovers and an injury to North Carolina's top QB to make their
comeback. Nebraska enters this week's game with a record of 3-0, their
best start since 2005. Nebraska hasn't played a great schedule to this
point in the season, but a good group of teams that gave them some looks that
should help them as the season goes along, especially against the spread
offenses. Last week against New Mexico State, the Husker offense seemed to
do what they wanted, and other than one turnover on downs inside the red-zone,
the starting offense was outstanding. The Nebraska defense was also
impressive, holding a talented New Mexico State offense to just 7 points.
It would have likely been a shut-out, however, back-up QB Patrick Witt fumbled a
snap that was returned by the Aggies to the 3 yard line, giving them an easy
score.
It is hard to picture Virginia Tech's air attack suddenly coming
to life Saturday night in Lincoln after the abysmal past four games.
Certainly, Nebraska does not rank among the nation's best secondaries, but they
have been playing against pass-happy spread offenses that have put up a lot of
yards, but not a lot of points. QB Tyrod Taylor doesn't have the arm to
pick apart a defense at this stage in his career, and will predominantly throw
short to medium passes, including a number of screens to get something
going. The Hokies have a very green group of receivers and no real defined
playmaking star. The Husker secondary looks as though they are improving
week-to-week, and have already shut down better receivers than they will see
this week. This should give them confidence for Saturday night's game, and
after their 2 interception performance against New Mexico State's Chase Holbrook
last week, they should be. Nebraska likely saw that you can do a good job
against the Hokies passing game with simple umbrella coverage. If they
keep everything in front of them, there shouldn't be much of a threat posed
here. Since it isn't likely the Hokies will be able to air it out against
the Huskers, Virginia Tech will again hope their running game can lead them to a
victory. Nebraska has the best rush defense that the Hokies have been up
against this season, and Virginia Tech is the best rushing team the Huskers have
seen this season. While the Huskers had some issues tackling against San
Jose State, they seemed to have remedied the situation against New Mexico
State. Virginia Tech will have to hope RB's Darren Evans and Kenny Lewis
Jr. can find room behind the offensive line, and that Tyrod Taylor can get it
done with his feet as well, or it will be very difficult to score
points.
Nebraska's starters were pulled in the third quarter of the NMSU
game with a 35-0 score to get the reserves playing time. There is no doubt
that score would have gotten to ugly proportions had the starting line-up
remained in the game. QB Joe Ganz has an accurate arm, and can make great
throws from the pocket or on the run. There is a good mix of receivers to
throw the ball to, and they will match up against two great defensive backs in
Kam Chancellor and Victor Harris. Ganz should be able to have a solid day
through the air, given that Nebraska's receiving corps is deeper than Virginia
Tech's defensive backfield. However, if the Huskers want to get into that
top 25 and stay there, they have to consistently run the ball. That all
starts up front, and now that the offensive line is back to being healthy, they
should start living up to their pre-season hype. With the great running
backs that Nebraska has, it will be difficult to stop them, if there is an
adequate push up front. Virginia Tech's defenses are always aggressive,
strives to get to the QB and force turnovers. That is how they are winning
games right now and that plan won't stop this week. Because of the
inconsistencies on the Nebraska offensive line, the Hokies' defense could have
some success slowing down the Husker run game and make Nebraska one-dimensional.
Virginia Tech is having tremendous difficulties putting the ball
in the endzone, and there is no reason to believe that trend will break this
weekend. The best chance the Hokies will have against Nebraska is to shut
down the run game and hope Joe Ganz makes mistakes to give the Tyrod Taylor and
the Virginia Tech offense short fields to work with. The best match-ups to
watch all night will be up front on both sides of the ball. Whichever team
is able to do a better job of shutting down the opposing team's run game will
have a great chance to win this football game. Nebraska has one major
advantage over Virginia Tech though, in that they are able to have a balanced
attack, and can burn opponents with big plays from the running and passing
games. At the end of the night, Virginia Tech won't be able to muster
enough points to beat the Husker at night in Lincoln. Nebraska should beat
the Hokies by somewhere between 7 and 14 points.
Virginia Tech - 13
Nebraska - 24