Vince Campisi's College Football Game Preview
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers 10/15/09
--by Vince Campisi
October 17th, 2009
2:30 PM CT
Lincoln, NE
Television Coverage: ABCTEXAS TECH (4 - 2) (1 - 1)
VS
#15 (AP)/#17 (C) NEBRASKA (4 - 1) (1 - 0)Gametime
WeatherWeather Report for Nebraska vs. Texas TechLatest Line Nebraska by 10.5.
Schedules/ResultsTexas Tech09/05/09 - vs. North Dakota - W 38-13
09/12/09 - vs. Rice - W 55-10
09/19/09 - at. Texas - L 24-34
09/26/09 - at. Houston - L 28-29
10/03/09 - vs. New Mexico - W 48-28
10/10/09
- vs. Kansas State - W 66-14
10/17/09 - at. Nebraska
10/24/09 - vs. Texas A&M
10/31/09 - vs. Kansas
11/14/09 - at. Oklahoma State
11/21/09 - vs. Oklahoma
11/28/09 - at. Baylor
Nebraska09/05/09 - vs. Florida Atlantic - W 49-3
09/12/09 - vs. Arkansas State - W 38-9
09/19/09 - at. Virginia Tech - L 15-16
09/26/09 - vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - W 55-0
10/08/09 - at. Missouri - W 27-12
10/17/09 - vs. Texas Tech
10/24/09 - vs. Iowa
State
10/31/09 - at. Baylor
11/07/09 - vs. Oklahoma
11/14/09 - at. Kansas
11/21/09 - vs. Kansas State
11/27/09 - at. Colorado
Player BreakdownsTexas Tech OffenseTexas
Tech's offense under Mike Leach continues to succeed no matter the QB.
They don't run the football well, but they'll chuck it all over the
field in the Air Raid offense. The Red Raiders are currently ranked
2nd nationally in total offense (521.50 ypg), 2nd in passing (443.50
ypg), 11th in passing efficiency (161.27 rating), 114th in rushing (78
ypg), 2nd in scoring offense (43.17 ppg), 96th in interceptions thrown
(8), 79th in fumbles lost (6), and 97th in giveaways (14).
QB:
Jr. Steven Sheffield (53 of 70, 780 yds, 11 TDs, 2 INTs) has looked
excellent since filling in for Jr. Taylor Potts (159 of 235, 1817 yds,
13 TDs, 6 INTs), who went down with a concussion two weeks ago against
New Mexico. Head Coach Mike Leach has said it will be a game-time
decision as to which QB will get the starting nod, but it will be a big
surprise if it isn't Sheffield. Sheffield has put up almost ridiculous
numbers the past two games against New Mexico and Kansas State, and
currently holds an outstanding 215.5 efficiency rating. He hasn't
played in enough games to be eligible for national rankings, but if he
continues with those numbers, he would easily be the nation's best.
Potts has also been prolific in his time leading the offense,
completing 67.7% of his passes and holding a 145.80 efficiency rating
(27th nationally). Both QB's have good size, with Sheffield checking
in at 6'4" and Potts at 6'5". The biggest difference between the two
is that Sheffield is much better on his feet. While Potts is more of a
pocket passer, Sheffield will often be seen scrambling around the
backfield, waiting for one of his receivers to become open and
striking. He won't take many designed runs, but did have a nice 16
yard scamper last week to pick up a first down. The one concern is if
those gaudy numbers were just a product of playing at home against poor
competition. Behind Sheffield and Potts is RFr. Seth Dodge (6 of 8, 64
yds, 1 TD). He saw his first career action last week against KSU, and
kept the offense clicking.
RB: The Red Raiders'
running game has been almost non-existent this season, after looking
like a promising threat for the offense a year ago. The running backs
are pretty good, but don't see a lot of carries, and haven't had a
consistent push up-front from their blockers. Sure, the ground game
looked better against Kansas State, as did the entire team, but most
teams do against a team of that caliber. Jr. Baron Batch (53 carries,
312 yds, 5 TDs) is the top back for the Red Raiders. Batch's
production is down nearly 10 yards per game and 1 yard less per carry
from 2008. He had 86 yards and a TD on just 9 carries against KSU last
week. Batch is very quick, has very good speed as well as cutting
ability. Top reserves to Batch include TFr. Eric Stephens (23 carries,
98 yds) and RFr. Harrison Jeffers (26 carries, 180 yds, 4 TDs). Both
reserves are 5'8"-5'9", and are very fast. Jeffers has been
particularly explosive, averaging nearly 7 yards per rush. The backs
are used often in the passing game, through screens, shovel passes, and
quick outs to the flats. Batch (15 catches, 133 yds), Jeffers (19
catches, 191 yds, 1 TD), and Stephens (7 catches, 62 yds, 1 TD) have
all caught passes this season. If they aren't accounted for, they'll
quickly gash the opposing defense for big yards.
WR/TE:
The Red Raiders' receivers this season have been what they usually are
- good. They don't drop many passes, all have adequate or better
speed, and do a pretty good job of getting open. Of course, they are
missing a big-time home run hitter in Michael Crabtree, but his
replacements have done a fine job this season. The Tech QB's do a
great job of spreading the ball around, so a defense can't really key
in on any one or two guys. Starting at "H" is So. Tramain Swindall (24
catches, 464 yds, 5 TDs), with So. Adam James (10 catches, 85 yds, 1
TD) backing him up. Swindall has great hands and good enough speed to
take it to not get caught from behind and take it to the house. He's
been the team's best deep threat, averaging 19.3 yards per catch.
Swindall and James are the tallest of the Tech receivers, each at
6'3". Starting at "X" is Sr. Edward Britton (20 catches, 218 yds, 1
TD), with Jr. Lyle Leong Jr (24 catches, 328 yds, 6 TDs) backing him
up. Britton has nice hands, typically making the tough catches and
does well in getting yards after catch. Leong has really come along
this year and made an outstanding catch against Kansas State, laying
out for the ball. Starting at "Y" is Jr. Detron Lewis (30 catches, 385
yds, 4 TDs), while RFr. Austin Zouzalik (18 catches, 228 yds, 1 TD)
backs him up. Lewis has great jumping ability, agility, and very good
speed. Zouzalik has done a nice job in getting open downfield. RFr.
Alex Torres (31 catches, 335 yds, 3 TDs) starts at "Z", with So. Jacoby
Franks (15 catches, 200 yds, 1 TD) backing him up. The thing that
jumps out to you about Torres is that he really works hard for yards
after catch. He's also tough to bring down and is sure handed, holding
onto the ball even when getting hit very hard. Franks has good speed
and good hands to match. He had a 72 yard touchdown reception against
KSU last week by simply outrunning the defensive back to get to the
deep ball.
OL: Texas Tech's offensive line has had
to replace three starters from last year’s group. This has presented
some problems with finding consistency with a certain line-up. Play
hasn't been great, having difficulties in both pass protection as well
as run blocking. Starting at tackle is RFr. Terry McDaniel (6'7", 335
lbs) on the left and Sr. Marlon Winn (6'6", 312 lbs) on the right.
McDaniel isn't all that athletic and is helped by the extra wide splits
the Red Raiders O-line employs to make it difficult for rush ends to
get to the QB. Winn has been pretty solid on the right in pass
protection this season. The top reserves at tackle are Jr. Chris Olson
(6'5", 296 lbs) and RFr. Joe King (6'6", 319 lbs). Starting at guard
is Jr. Chris Olson (6'5", 296 lbs) on the left and Sr. Brandon Carter
(6'7", 334 lbs) on the right. Olson has really been moved around this
year, playing at both tackle and guard. It appears that he has found a
home at LG, and has been decent. Carter came back last week after
serving a one-game suspension. He played fairly well, but not
consistently. He was seen having trouble matching-up just one-on-one
up-front with a KSU DT. Carter may play Guard or Tackle this week.
Top back-ups at guard are So. Lonnie Edwards (6'5", 290 lbs) and So.
Mickey Okafor (6'7", 319 lbs). Okafor had a tough game against New
Mexico, getting beat often. At center is Jr. Justin Keown (6'4", 302
lbs), with Sr. Shawn Byrnes (6'4", 307 lbs) backing him up. Keown has
been fair, but isn't much of a lead blocker, especially downfield. He
had a chance last week to spring the runner for a score, but made a
sloppy attempt at a block downfield and allowed the RB to be brought
down. Byrnes has struggled with injury this season, and could get back
into the starting spot now that he is healthy.
Texas Tech DefenseTexas
Tech's defense has been fair this season. They aren't one of the best
in the Big XII, but aren't the worst, either. There has been some
excitement about the defense with recent wins over New Mexico and
Kansas State, though hardly good tests for a defense. The Red Raiders
currently rank 55th nationally in total defense (349.67 ypg), 92nd in
pass defense (242.50 ypg), 44th in pass efficiency defense (117.74
rating), 28th in rush defense (107.17 ypg), 42nd in scoring defense
(21.33 ppg), 76th in interceptions forced (4), 27th in fumbles
recovered (6), and 59th in total takeaways (10).
DL:
The Red Raiders' defensive line is an experienced unit, with all
upperclassmen in the starting line-up. As a whole, they show flashes
of being a solid d-line with a good pass rush, but not consistently
enough to make opposing offensive lines sweat too much. Starting at
defensive end is Sr. Ra'Jon Henley (8 tackles, 2 sacks) on the left and
Sr. Brandon Sharpe (8 tackles, 4 sacks, 1 FF, 1FR, 2 PBU) on the
right. Henley dropped about 20 pounds from last season, and has shown
some improved quickness off the edge. Sharpe was among the best
defenders against KSU last weekend, registering a pair of sacks. He
needs to work on consistency, though, as much of the time he was lost
at the line. Neither starter has been a great help against the rush,
however. Top reserves on the ends are Sr. Daniel Howard (22 tackles, 5
sacks, 1 FF, 2 QBH, 1 PBU), and RFr. Ryan Haliburton (2 tackles).
Howard missed last week's game with a stinger, and he might be back in
the line-up this week, but not necessarily as a starter. A very good
pass rusher, he is averaging 1 sack per game. Starting at defensive
tackle is Sr. Richard Jones (24 tackles, 1 sack, 1 PBU), with So. Chris
Perry (4 tackles, 1 sack) backing him up. Jones is not much of a pass
rusher, getting most of his action bringing down opposing running
backs. He's undersized at just 6'1" and was swallowed up pretty well
by the poor KSU offensive line last week. Starting at nose tackle is
Jr. Colby Whitlock (18 tackles, 1 sack, 2 PBU), with Sr. Victor Hunter
(11 tackles) serving as his back-up. Whitlock was pushed around for
the most part last week against KSU, but did manage to make a pair of
tackles while pancaked on the ground, showing that he doesn't give up
on plays.
LB: Texas Tech's linebacking corps is
the strength of the defense. They have played pretty well this season,
but not great. Even in the throttling of KSU last week, there were
problems with filling run lanes as well as mediocre pass coverage. You
can get away with that against teams such as KSU and the like and not
get burned often, but not against the Big XII's better offenses.
Starting at middle linebacker is Jr. Brian Duncan (43 tackles, 4 PBU),
with So. Sam Fehoko (7 tackles, 1 FR, 1 PBU) backing him up. Duncan is
a pretty consistent performer, he's a solid tackler, has good
athleticism, and works hard to make plays. He's been among the best
defensive players for Texas Tech since his freshman season with his
field smarts. At weakside linebacker is Sr. Marlon Williams (43
tackles, 2 sacks, 1 INT, 1 PBU), while So. Riley Harvey (1 tackle)
backs him up. Williams is in his third year as a starter, and is
currently tied with Duncan for the team lead in tackles with 43. He's
arguably the fastest of the group, and does a very nice job when
blitzing. Jr. Bront Bird (28 tackles, 1 sack, 2 QBH, 3 PBU) starts at
strongside linebacker, with So. Tyrone Sonier (4 tackles) providing
back-up. Bird has excellent size (6'3", 240 lbs) and is used in many
ways on the defense. He often plays on or close to the LOS, especially
when Tech runs a 3-man front. He's a strong tackler, usually good in
pass coverage, and uses his athletic ability to his advantage, flying
to the ball. Although this group is typically pretty good tacklers,
against Kansas State, they did have some issues tackling RB Daniel
Thomas on a few moderate gains.
DB: The Red
Raiders' defensive backfield has been decent this season, as they give
up chunks of yards, but not many scores. They rank 11th in terms of
yardage given up in the Big XII (242.5 ypg), but are 3rd in the Big XII
in passing touchdowns give up (5). Starting at cornerback is Sr. Jamar
Wall (27 tackles, 1 FF, 1 FR, 4 PBU) at left corner and Jr. LaRon Moore
(22 tackles, 1 INT, 1 FR, 3 PBU) on the right. Wall is the best of the
secondary, good in pass coverage, and also wraps up well on the ball
carrier. He had a nice forced fumble against New Mexico two weeks
ago. Moore is the smallest of the group at just 5'9", and will be a
primary target for passing offenses to pick on. However, he has good
speed and jumping ability, which can negate some of that height
discrepancy he will have with the Big XII's bigger receivers. Players
in the reserve rotation include Sr. Brent Nickerson (8 tackles, 1 FR, 2
PBU), So. Taylor Charbonnet (6 tackles), and TFr. D.J. Johnson (10
tackles, 1 INT, 1 FF, 3 PBU). Nickerson has looked pretty good when on
the field, making a couple of nice break-ups the past few weeks.
Johnson looks like a future star of the secondary, making big plays
whenever given the chance this season. Starting at strong safety is
So. Brett Dewhurst (18 tackles, 3 PBU), with Brent Nickerson providing
back-up here as well. Dewhurst, a walk-on, has been decent this
season, but doesn't have the athleticism of the other defensive backs.
At free safety is Jr. Franklin Mitchem (12 tackles, 1 PBU), while So.
Jared Flannel (2 tackles) backs him up. Mitchem was finally healthy
enough to return to the line-up last week against KSU, and should help
to strengthen the defensive backfield for the Red Raiders as the season
moves forward.
Texas Tech Special TeamsTexas
Tech's special teams units have been pretty solid, but not
spectacular. The Red Raiders currently rank 63rd in net punting (36.06
yd avg), 20th in kickoff returns (25.79 yd avg), 57th in punt returns
(9.64 yd avg), 41st in kickoff coverage (19.88 yd avg), and 72nd in
punt coverage (9.67 yd avg).
K: Jr. Matt
Williams has made 3 of his 4 field goal attempts with a long of 41 this
season. His only miss was a 38 yarder against Rice early in the
season. So. Donnie Carona works as the kickoff specialist, pushing 8
of his 42 kickoffs for a touchback this season. He is averaging 64.6
yards per kickoff, kicking to between the 5 and 6 yard line.
P:
TFr. Ryan Erxleben is averaging 41.2 yards on his 14 punts with a long
of 54 this season. 9 of his 14 punts have been downed inside the
opponents' 20.
KR/PR: The top kickoff return unit
for the Red Raiders is TFr. Eric Stephens (16 kick returns, 24.9 yd
avg, 54 yd long) and Sr. Edward Britton (6 kick returns, 25.2 yd avg,
47 yd long). Others slated to possibly return kicks include RFr.
Austin Zouzalik (1 kick return, 29 yds) and Sr. Jamar Wall. The top
punt return man is TFr. Austin Zouzalik (10 punt returns, 9.1 yd avg,
18 yd long), while Sr. Jamar Wall (4 punt returns, 11 yd avg, 24 yd
long) has also fielded punts this season.
Coverage:
The Red Raiders' kick and punt coverage units have been pretty average
this season, but did keep the explosive KSU returnman Brandon Banks
from breaking anything big last week. The kick coverage unit is
allowing an average of 19.9 yards on 33 kickoff return attempts, with a
long of 61. The punt coverage unit is allowing an average of 9.7 yards
on 6 punt return attempts, with a long of 46.
Nebraska OffenseNebraska's
offense has looked very good at home this season, but has really
struggled on the road. When playing at home, they have shown good
balance, able to beat teams running and throwing the football.
Statistics were hurt badly over the past week, due to a miserable game
in torrential rain at Missouri. The Huskers currently rank 40th
nationally in total offense (404.60 ypg), 44th in passing (236.60 ypg),
29th in pass efficiency (144.26 rating), 43rd in rushing (168 ypg),
15th in scoring offense (36.80 ppg), 19th in interceptions thrown (3),
7th in fumbles lost (2), and 8th in giveaways (5).
QB:
Jr. Zac Lee (82 for 138, 1085 yds, 10 TDs, 3 INTs) has been a very
efficient QB that has looked great at home against Sun Belt teams, but
has not looked very good on the road. He went 11 for 30 (37%) and
threw 2 interceptions against Virginia Tech in his first road game, and
was 14 of 33 (42%) at Missouri in the heavy rain last week. He had an
excellent fourth quarter against Missouri, however, tossing 3 touchdown
passes to lead the Huskers to a win. When Lee has been "on", he's
shown great arm strength and accuracy. He does tend to lock onto his
target and telegraph his throws, which is something he needs to work
on. He has pretty good speed and is able to escape pressure in the
backfield and also pick up yards in designed run plays. Lee has rushed
for 68 yards on 28 attempts (has lost 31 yards on sacks). Behind Lee
are TFr. Cody Green (12 for 17, 98 yds, 1 TD) and Jr. LaTravis
Washington. Green has a lot of potential to be a big-time dual-threat
QB. He can run well, and has shown a very strong arm. Green has
carried the ball 6 times for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns. Washington has
a strong arm with good speed as well, but he has not made the strides
that Green has.
RB: Nebraska's running backs are
led by Jr. Roy Helu Jr. (91 carries, 552 yds, 6 TDs). Helu Jr. has a
great combination of hard running, leaping, and cutting ability. He
can beat defenders by running around them, by them, and over them. He
has really turned into a complete back over the past season. He
struggled with the flu and a bruised shoulder, but should be 100% on
Saturday. The top back-up to Helu Jr. has been TFr. Rex Burkhead (23
carries, 118 yds, 1 TD), an impressive, young back that has had some
nice rushes this season. He broke his foot in practice on Monday of
this week, and will now be out for a good chunk of the season. A #2
back must emerge from the group of RFr. Lester Ward (1 carry, 8 yds),
So. Marcus Mendoza (1 carries, -1 yds), So. Austin Jones (3 carries, 11
yds), and RFr. Collins Okafor. Another back that might be in the mix
is TFr. Dontrayevous Robinson, who has plenty of skills, but has been
sitting out to red-shirt up to this point. There's potential in the
reserve group, but nothing really proven yet. Nebraska likes to throw
the ball to their backs, and should become a bigger part of the offense
as Big XII play gets rolling. Helu Jr. (11 catches, 91 yds) and
Burkhead (8 catches, 66 yds, 1 TD) have each caught passes, both having
great ability to break a few tackles after the catch and motor
downfield. Mendoza has shown the ability to catch passes in his
limited action a year ago, and he might be the top option to replace
the injured Burkhead. At fullback, RFr. Tyler Legate (2 catches, 14
yds, 1 TD) is the top guy and but doesn't see much time with the ball
.
WR/TE: Nebraska's receiving corps has been
pretty solid this season, but struggles with consistency. They had
some issues with dropped passes in the rain last week against
Missouri. Starting at "Z" is Jr. Niles Paul (16 catches, 212 yds, 3
TDs). He has a great combination of size, quickness, and route running
skills. In addition to being able to catch the ball, he is also a
solid blocker. Paul had two touchdown receptions against Missouri in
the 4th quarter, putting the team in the lead. Starting at "X" will be
Sr. Menelik Holt (11 catches, 124 yds, 1 TD), who has great size as
well as speed. He has potential to turn into a great target, but
continues to drop passes and hasn't been a very good blocker. Reserves
include So. Curenski Gilleylen (11 catches, 269 yds, 1 TD), Sr. Chris
Brooks (8 catches, 111 yds, 1 TD), Jr. Brandon Kinnie (1 catch, 5 yds),
TFr. Antonio Bell (1 catch, 3 yds), RFr. Khiry Cooper (3 catches, 32
yds), Jr. Will Henry (1 catch, 1 yd), and Sr. Wes Cammack (1 catch, 2
yds). Gilleylen is a speedster and has developed into Nebraska most
dangerous deep threat. Brooks is turning into a solid possession
receiver this year, and is becoming a big contributor for the unit.
Kinnie and Cooper are two exciting young players that could work their
way up as the season moves forward. Henry is a big body (6'5") and if
he puts it all together, could be an excellent threat. Nebraska's top
TE is Jr. Mike McNeill (12 catches, 146 yds, 3 TDs), with So. Dreu
Young (2 catch, 61 yds), So. Ryan Hill (1 catch, 7 yds), RFr. Ben
Cotton (2 catches, 10 yds), and RFr. Kyler Reed (3 catches, 29 yds)
competing behind McNeill. McNeill does a nice job of picking up yards
after catch, as well as getting open in the endzone. Reed will also be
used as a HB this season, as the coaches look to get his skills onto
the field. This is a deep and talented group of tight ends that is a
big strength for the Huskers' offense.
OL:
Nebraska’s offensive line has a ways to go consistency-wise. At times,
the front 5 looks capable of being a very good line, but other times
they are committing costly penalties and getting beat by opposing
linemen. Starting at tackle is Jr. Mike Smith (6'6", 295 lbs) on the
left and So. Marcel Jones (6'7", 310 lbs) on the right. Smith is
typically among the best linemen for the Huskers, but had a rough go of
it last week against Missouri. Jones is the largest of the linemen,
and has great potential to be a rock on the right side. Jr. D.J. Jones
(6'5", 315 lbs) is listed as a co-starter with Marcel Jones, even
though Marcel sees more snaps. D.J. really struggled greatly against
Virginia Tech's Jason Worilds a few games ago. TFr. Jeremiah Sirles
(6'6", 310 lbs) is another possibility to see in a reserve role at
tackle. Starting at left guard is Jr. Keith Williams (6'5", 315 lbs),
while Jr. Ricky Henry (6'4", 300 lbs) starts at right guard. Williams
is a great blocker and should only get better. He does very well as
the pulling guard, plowing through his man and opening holes. Henry is
a player known for his strength and his nasty streak, which can
sometimes get him in trouble. Sr. Andy Christensen (6'3", 305 lbs) and
Sr. Derek Meyer (6'5", 315 lbs) are Nebraska's top reserves at guard.
Christensen is a former starter that missed last season mostly due to a
suspension. Sr. Jacob Hickman (6'4", 290 lbs) starts at center, with
So. Mike Caputo (6'1", 275 lbs) backing him up. Hickman is the leader
of the group and a solid center. He has had a couple of off target
shotgun snaps the past two weeks, one led to a lost fumble last week.
Nebraska DefenseNebraska's
defense has been excellent this season, much better than they have
performed in years and among the best nationally in many categories.
The Huskers are currently ranked 13th nationally in total defense
(273.40 ypg), 14th in pass defense (162.60 ypg), 3rd in pass efficiency
defense (86.48 rating), 33rd in rush defense (110.80 ypg), 2nd in
scoring defense (8 ppg), 55th in interceptions (5), 49th in fumbles
recovered (5), and 59th in total takeaways (10).
DL:
Nebraska’s defensive line is playing like one of the best units in the
nation. They're big, strong, athletic, and just make plays. Starting
at defensive end is Jr. Pierre Allen (21 tackles, 1 sack, 3 QBH, 1 PBU)
on the right, with Sr. Barry Turner (18 tackles, 0.5 sack, 1 FR, 5 QBH,
1 PBU) on the left. Both Allen and Turner have excellent athleticism,
but have been fairly inconsistent this season. If they can reach the
level of play they've been at in the past, they'll be tough for
opposing tackles to control. RFr. Cameron Meredith (9 tackles, 1 sack,
1 FR, 2 QBH, 1 PBU) and RFr. Josh Williams (3 tackles) are the top
reserves at defensive end. Meredith has been impressive in his back-up
role, and is pushing for more playing time. Starting at nose tackle is
Sr. Ndamukong Suh (32 tackles, 3 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FF, 2 QBH, 7 PBU),
with So. Terrence Moore (2 tackles) backing him up. Suh is an elite
tackle that has a motor that doesn't quit, flies to the ball and forces
turnovers. He very rarely comes off the field, yet still has the
energy to bring it in the fourth quarter. He is now getting early
Heisman attention from various media outlets. So. Jared Crick (23
tackles, 2.5 sacks, 1 FR, 3 QBH, 1 BLK) starts at defensive tackle,
with RFr. Baker Steinkuhler (13 tackles) providing back-up. Crick is
counted on to make plays with Suh being doubled up, and is getting
better each week.
LB: Nebraska's linebacking
corps is young and has seemed to really gel with the return of Phillip
Dillard three games ago. With two of the three starters being
redshirt-freshmen, they are getting better each week. Starting at
weakside linebacker is Sr. Phillip Dillard (11 tackles, 1 sack, 1
PBU). Dillard is a former starter at MIKE that didn't play in the
first two games, but is doing a great job at WILL. He brings
athleticism and experience to the field, invaluable, especially as they
get into league play. Behind Dillard are Jr. Blake Lawrence (10
tackles) and So. Matthew May (8 tackles). Both have been bothered by
minor injuries this season. Starting at middle linebacker is RFr. Will
Compton (26 tackles, 2 QBH, 1 PBU), while Sr. Colton Koehler (5
tackles) is the top reserve. Compton works hard to get after the ball
carrier, but is still learning the defense and will make mistakes.
Starting at buck linebacker is RFr. Sean Fisher (20 tackles, 1 FR. 3
QBH), with TFr. Eric Martin (7 tackles) and RFr. Micah Kreikemeier
providing back-up. Fisher stands at 6'6", and like Compton, will get
better each week as they learn how to quickly read and react to the
opposing offense. Martin has the ability to be a force for the
Huskers, when he gets the mental aspect of the game down to match his
physicality, he'll be a good one. In nickel and dime situations,
Compton and/or Dillard are the Huskers' options at LB.
DB:
Nebraska’s defensive backfield has played very well this season, much
better than anyone thought they would be at this point in the season.
Other than a couple of big plays given up, they have done a nice job in
coverage and making solid tackles. Jr. Prince Amukamara (30 tackles, 1
sack, 1 INT, 1 FF, 4 PBU) starts at LCB, with Jr. Dejon Gomes (9
tackles, 1 INT, 1 FF, 1 PBU) and TFr. Andrew Green listed as the top
reserves. Amukamara has been pretty solid and has great athleticism,
and getting better at consistency in coverage. Gomes played a lot last
week, looked very good, and had a huge interception in the fourth
quarter. Jr. Anthony West (7 tackles, 1 PBU) starts at RCB, with So.
Alfonzo Dennard (8 tackles, 1 PBU) and So. Lance Thorell (5 tackles, 1
PBU) listed as the top reserves. West has been average, and needs to
play more with his head on a swivel. Dennard played a lot last week in
place of West and looked very good. He makes plays on the football and
is a solid tackler. At strong safety is Sr. Larry Asante (29 tackles,
1 INT, 1 FF, 5 PBU) starts, with Jr. Eric Hagg (13 tackles, 1 sack, 1
FF, 1 QBH) and RFr. P.J. Smith (6 tackles) backing him up. Asante has
great athleticism and is a big hitter. He's probably the best of the
defensive backfield, with Amukamara coming a close second right now.
Hagg is used often as a blitzing safety, and also as a nickel back.
Sr. Matt O'Hanlon (24 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT, 1 FF, 1 FR) starts at
free safety. O'Hanlon is often picked on and susceptible to being
burned, however, has made some big plays in his career as well. He
usually a dependable tackler and blitzes well. Sr. Rickey Thenarse (11
tackles, 1 FF) was a co-starter at the position, however, suffered a
likely season ending knee injury two games ago. Behind O'Hanlon is
Hagg, So. Austin Cassidy (4 tackles, 1 PBU), and RFr. Courtney Osborne
(1 tackle).
Nebraska Special TeamsNebraska's
special teams units have been very good this year, except had a
terrible showing in the rain at Missouri last week. Return teams
struggled mightily, as did long snapping. In dry conditions, however,
these have been mostly non-issues. The Huskers rank 94th in net
punting (33.61 yd avg), 77th in kickoff returns (21.10 yd avg), 49th in
punt returns (9.94 yd avg), 37th in kickoff coverage (19.70 yd avg),
and 67th in punt coverage (9.30 yd avg).
K: Jr.
Alex Henery has one of the strongest and most accurate legs in the
nation. He has made 8 of his 9 attempts this season, with a long of
46. He's made 21 straight kicks from under 50 yards. Jr. Adi Kunalic
has a booming leg and is arguably the best kickoff specialist in the
nation. Kunalic has pushed 17 of 37 kickoffs for touchback this
season, with an excellent 68.5 yard average.
P:
Jr. Alex Henery has averaged 41 yards on his 22 punts with a long of 76
this season. 9 of his 22 punts have been downed inside the opponents'
20 so far this year. He added punting duties to his repertoire this
season, and is getting better each week. TFr. P.J. Mangieri is the
long snapper and really had a bad outing last week in the rain, with
inaccurate placement that caused a safety.
KR/PR:
Nebraska’s top kickoff return unit is made up of Jr. Niles Paul (8
returns, 24.2 yd avg, 32 yd long), and TFr. Rex Burkhead (1 kick
return, 15 yds). With Burkhead now out with injury, others that could
possibly return kicks are So. Curenski Gilleylen and So. Alfonzo
Dennard. At punt returner is Jr. Niles Paul (13 returns, 8.5 yd avg,
55 yd long). TFr. Rex Burkhead (4 returns, 18.2 yd avg, 33 yd long)
has also had some returns, but with his injury, RFr. Tim Marlowe could
now see time returning punts. These units have been great at times,
but last week was miserable, as everyone seemed to have trouble
fielding balls.
Coverage: Nebraska’s coverage
teams have been pretty good this season, but did struggle on punt
coverage in the rain last week. There were some problems with footing
and getting tackles on the returners. The kick coverage unit is
allowing an average of 19.7 yards on 20 kickoff returns (76 yd long),
while the punt coverage unit is allowing an average of 9.3 yards on 10
punt returns.
Unit Match-UpsNebraska's Offense vs. Texas Tech's DefenseNebraska's
offense has appeared unimaginative and predictable at times this
season. In a downpour at Missouri last week, the offense seemed inept
for much of 3 quarters, finally awaking in the fourth to rattle off
four touchdowns, three through the air by QB Zac Lee. It's hard to
tell if Lee has what it takes to be a great QB because his 2 big tests
this year, both on the road, were not ideal conditions to necessarily
see where he's at as a QB. He looked like an All-American in his first
two outings against Florida Atlantic and Arkansas State, spreading the
ball around and looking comfortable in the pocket. His first ever road
game was against Virginia Tech and he struggled, not surprisingly. He
returned to Lincoln the next week, helping to throttle
Louisiana-Lafayette 55-0. Then, last week against Missouri in one of
the wettest games you'll see all season, he again struggled on the
road.
Is this a QB that can't play on the road, or a QB with small
hands that only struggled because of the adverse weather condition?
Don't forget that Missouri QB Blaine Gabbert was really not any better
than Lee in the rain, when looking at the game as a whole. Something
of note is that Lee was told he would have to do something with the
ball or he would be pulled in favor of back-up Cody Green on the next
series with the score 0-12. All Lee did was go out and throw a 56-yard
touchdown pass to WR Niles Paul, getting Nebraska back in the game.
We'll find out this week if that fourth quarter was the maturation of a
quarterback or nothing more than a few nice plays. When Lee has been
at home, he's shown that he can make all the throws does a very nice
job of spreading the ball around. To date, 17 different receivers have
caught passes from the Nebraska quarterbacks. Lee's scrambling ability
is worth noting, and although he isn't going to blaze downfield, he
will move the chains. The Red Raiders' defense has allowed their
opponents to complete a high 63.5% of their passes this season, while
Zac Lee is completing 59.4% of his attempts on the year.
Nebraska's
receiving corps is still looking for that one big-time playmaker, but
they do possess a good group of receivers. WR Niles Paul has been the
best of the unit and had a pair of touchdowns receptions last week
against Missouri, putting his team ahead of the Tigers in the fourth
quarter. Curenski Gilleylen is Nebraska's most exciting receiver, as
the speedster averages an impressive 31.9 yards per catch this year.
The group of tight ends, led by Mike McNeill, is probably the deepest
in the conference.
Texas Tech's secondary is serviceable, but not
a stand-out unit. They gave up 435 yards to the high-octane Houston
Cougars earlier this season, and also 316 to a New Mexico team that
ranks 79th in passing offense just two games ago. A chunk of those 316
yards came on New Mexico's final two drives of the game, but they
typically were picking up yards on each possession. The Red Raiders'
linebackers haven't been great in coverage this season, and there have
been a good amount of receivers left open by the DB's, but most of the
opposing QB's couldn't hit them. Last week against Kansas State, the
secondary was pretty consistent, although the Wildcats were vastly
overmatched. One thing that will be interesting to watch is how the
secondary plays against QB Zac Lee. Lee was very good against
undersized defensive backfields this season, and the TT corners are
5'9"-5'10". CB Jamar Wall is the best of the unit and will likely go
head-to-head against WR Niles Paul. In pass coverage, the Red Raiders'
secondary ranks 44th, allowing a rating of 117.74, while Nebraska's QB
Zac Lee dropped from 16th to 30th nationally in pass efficiency
(145.03) after the game in the rain at Missouri.
Nebraska's
running game took a bit of a blow this week with the injury to top
back-up, Rex Burkhead. Just as he started to see more snaps and become
a bigger part of the offense, he goes down with a broken foot and will
be out for quite some time. Starter Roy Helu Jr was favoring his
shoulder late in the fourth quarter after his game clinching touchdown
run, however, he is expected to be ready to go on Saturday. He's the
workhorse for the Huskers, so his health is very important to the
success of the offense. As long as he is healthy, he's the best back
in the Big XII conference this season. The talk of the week is which
of the young running backs will take over for Burkhead and assume the
role of #2 back. Coaches aren't saying who they are favoring at this
point, so it's really anyone's guess as to who comes in to spell Helu
on Saturday.
Texas Tech's rush defense has been pretty decent, but
has yet to play against a good rushing attack. Helu, by far, will be
the best back they've seen this season. Through six games, the Red
Raiders are allowing their opponents to rush for 4 yards per carry
(taking sacks out). The one team that stands out is Houston, who does
not run the ball very well (ranks 86th), but was able to put up 144
yards on the ground. The front four, who's strength is pass rushing,
have been good at times against the run, but not consistent. The
linebackers are solid, but like the line, just not consistent in
filling run lanes and making tackles on first contact. Last week
against Kansas State, the Wildcats rushed for over 6 yards per carry on
24 attempts (147 yds) when you take sacks out of the equation.
Focusing
on third downs and red zone play, Nebraska is converting a solid 47.06%
of their third downs (22nd nationally), and scoring on an excellent 95%
of red-zone opportunities (14 TDs, 5 FGs) (7th nationally). Nebraska
performed at their season average of 47.06% on third downs last week
against Missouri (8 for 17). The Red Raiders' defense is allowing
their opponents to convert a fairly high 38.95% of their third downs
(68th nationally), and have allowed those opponents to score on 78% of
their red-zone chances (11 TDs, 3 FGs) (40th nationally). Texas Tech
held Kansas State to a 25% (3 for 12) 3rd down conversion rate last
week.
Sizing up the lines, Nebraska's average offensive lineman
is 6'5", 300 lbs, while Texas Tech's average defensive lineman is 6'2",
267 lbs. On the season, Nebraska has averaged 5.4 yards per carry
while Texas Tech is giving up 4.1 yards per carry. Nebraska has
allowed 4 sacks and 25 tackles for loss in five games this year, while
Texas Tech has picked up 18 sacks and 45 tackles for loss in six games
this season. Nebraska's offensive line cannot continue to commit the
large amount of costly penalties, or it will continue to cost them
scoring drives, not what you want especially in tight games. There's a
lot of good talent for the Huskers, but they need to play disciplined,
consistent football. The Red Raiders' d-line has had their own issues
with consistency this season. They've been pretty hit or miss the past
month or so of the season. Nebraska was able to play very well
up-front against Texas Tech last year, helping to speed up the game by
chewing up the clock throughout the game. If the Huskers choose to
employ that same strategy this year, the offensive line will have to be
better.
Texas Tech's Offense vs. Nebraska's DefenseTexas
Tech's "Air Raid" passing attack continues to run like a fine oiled
machine no matter who is plugged in at QB. Taylor Potts put up gaudy
numbers against the likes of North Dakota, Rice, and Texas; while
Steven Sheffield has come in put up gaudy numbers against New Mexico
and Kansas State. None of those defenses are anything to get hung up
about, but the fact is that these quarterbacks are very good in this
offense, a credit to head coach Mike Leach. Last week against Kansas
State, Sheffield threw for 490 yards and 7 touchdowns on 41 passes.
Although most of the passes are quick timed routes, when he does throw
deep, his athletic ability, superior to Potts', allowed him to scramble
and let someone shake coverage. He has spread the ball around very
well, but a lot of times locks on to one receiver from the start of a
play. He has yet to start a game on the road, however, and that will
be something to watch on Saturday, assuming he gets the start. Leach
will not name a starter until game time, but you would think he'll go
with the hot hand in Sheffield. In addition to being his first road
game, his opponent, Nebraska, is many notches above that of Kansas
State and New Mexico defensively. Playing in three games, Sheffield is
completing 75.7% of his passes, while Potts, who played in five games,
is completing 67.7% of his throws. On the other side of the football,
Nebraska's defense is allowing their opponents' quarterbacks to
complete just 47.5% of their passes this season.
Texas Tech's
receiving corps doesn't have the number of game-breaking speedsters
that they possessed a year ago, but it is still a very good, very deep
group. 14 different receivers have caught passes this season, and 10
of those 14 have caught at least 10 passes this season. Texas Tech
runs many quick outs, which are difficult to defend when timed
correctly. One thing to keep an eye on is how the Tech receivers hold
on to the football after a catch. Many times, especially last week
against KSU, they appeared very loose with the ball, susceptible to
fumbling. It wasn't a problem last week, but could be at some point
soon. While this is a very sound group of receivers, they all looked
like All-Americans against the abysmal defenses of New Mexico and
Kansas State the past two games. They exploited their poor coverage by
finding plenty of open space at the 2nd level and beyond. WR's Tramain
Swindall, Alex Torres, Detron Lewis, Edward Britton, and Lyle Leong Jr
have all been impressive through the first half of the Red Raiders'
season. They'll run a lot of quick slants, as well as an occasional WR
slip screen that usually produces nice gains.
Nebraska's pass
defense has been pretty solid this season, and faced their first great
passing attack last week in Missouri. Unfortunately, the rain impacted
how the game was played on both sides of the ball by both teams.
Nebraska's defense had two interceptions against the Tigers' QB Blaine
Gabbert, but dropped four more easy ones because of the slippery ball.
The Huskers were able to get pressure on the Missouri QB often, and
that disrupted what he wanted to accomplish. While Texas Tech runs a
spread attack, it's not the same as the Tigers' offense. The distance
the offensive line is split apart, and the fact that Red Raiders' QB
doesn't hold onto the ball nearly as long as Missouri's are just two
simple ways in which they differ. Still, Nebraska will likely run
plenty of nickel and dime defenses, and with the way some of the
younger defensive backs stepped up against Missouri, they have to be
pretty confident right now. Tech's passing game will be the best
Nebraska sees this season, so this will be a great test for both
sides. One thing that will help Nebraska's back seven is if they can
get the same amount of pressure from the front four that they got
against Missouri. If they can't get pressure from the front four,
Sheffield (or Potts) should have a typical Tech day through the air.
In pass coverage, the Huskers' secondary ranks 3rd nationally, allowing
a rating of just 86.48, while Texas Tech QB's as a unit rank 11th
nationally in pass efficiency (161.27).
The Red Raiders
rushing game has taken a backseat to the pass this season, somewhat of
a surprise after they rushed for over 1400 yards last season. In some
game they just haven't really tried to run the ball, other than as an
occasional change of pace. Their only two successful games on the
ground this year were against Houston (163 yds) and last week against
Kansas State (185 yds). Nice numbers, but when you consider that
Houston is 116th nationally against the run and Kansas State, who is in
total disarray this season, it becomes less impressive. RB's Baron
Batch, Harrison Jeffers, and Eric Stephens all have the tools to be
solid backs, but if the offensive line isn't getting a good push
up-front, those skills don't do you much good.
Nebraska's rush
defense will present a lot of challenges for the Red Raider offense.
In Tech's only other game against a good defense, at Texas, they were
stifled to the tune of -6 yards on 18 rushes. The Huskers' defense
contained Virginia Tech's explosive rushing attack as well or better
than Alabama's vaunted defense did this season. The Huskers also kept
their three Sun Belt opponents in check. They get a great push
up-front and the linebackers have been doing their job filling lanes as
well. Since Nebraska brought veteran LB Phillip Dillard back into
starting line-up two games ago, the defense has been even stingier.
The Red Raiders believe that after blasting through the hapless KSU
defense that things are on the upswing for the ground game. We'll find
out on Saturday if that is indeed the case.
Looking at how these
teams perform on third downs and red-zone opportunities, Texas Tech has
converted a solid 43.08% of their third downs (37th nationally), with a
mediocre 83% red-zone scoring average (23 TDs, 2 FGs) (57th
nationally). The Red Raiders were an excellent 62.5% (5 for 8) on 3rd
downs last week against Kansas State, also scoring on all 6 red zone
opportunities. Nebraska's defense is allowing their opponents to
convert just 33.77% of their 3rd down attempts (31st nationally), and
has allowed a solid 75% red-zone scoring percentage (4 TDs, 2 FGs)
(29th nationally) this season.
Up front, Texas Tech's average
offensive lineman is 6'6", 316 lbs, while Nebraska's average defensive
lineman comes in at 6'4.5", 279 lbs. On the season, Texas Tech is
averaging 5.2 yards per carry (when taking sacks out) while Nebraska is
giving up just 3.7 yards per carry. The Red Raiders have allowed 33
tackles for loss and 13 sacks in their six games, while the Huskers
have picked up 36 tackles for loss and 12 sacks in their five games.
Texas Tech uses larger splits between each lineman, which allows for a
couple of advantages. One advantage the wide splits give you is that
against good edge rushers, the tackles can try to push them to the
outside, which is much further length to run around than against
traditional line splits. A second advantage of the splits is that it
opens large passing lanes for the Tech QB. While Nebraska’s
All-American NT Ndamukong Suh has dominated everyone he's come up
against this season, he might have some issues with these wide splits
and quick outs Tech uses. While Tech has Brandon Carter back and
clicking, it's unclear if he will play at tackle or guard on Saturday.
If he plays guard, look for him to be matched-up with Suh. That could
be a great battle to watch. Tech QB Steven Sheffield hasn't had to
deal with a consistent pass rush yet, especially on the road. The
offensive line must be very good on Saturday.
Position Advantages:Position/
AdvantageQBs:
Texas Tech ++RBs:
Nebraska ++WR/TE's:
Texas Tech ++OL:
Nebraska +DL:
Nebraska +++LB:
EvenDB:
Nebraska +Special Teams:
Nebraska +Coaching:
Even + = Slight
++ = Moderate
+++ = LargeInjury ReportNebraska:RB
- Roy Helu Jr - Shoulder - Probable
RB - Rex Burkhead - Foot - Out Indefinitely
FS - Rickey Thenarse - Knee - Out Indefinitely
CB - Jase Dean - Knee - Out for Season
QB - Kody Spano - Knee - Out for Season
Texas Tech:C - Shawn Byrnes - Leg - Questionable
LB - Cody Davis - Leg - Questionable
QB Taylor Potts - Concussion - Questionable
DB - Nathan Stone - Neck - Out Indefinitely
Keys to the GameNebraska:1.)
Throw Off the Timing of Texas Tech's Passing Game
- Through pressure on the QB, jamming receivers at the LOS, etc., this
has to be down to slow down the Red Raider Aerial Assault.
2.)
Balanced Offense
- This starts in the trenches. A consistent running game is needed to
take some pressure off QB Zac Lee, which should help his performance.
A solid run game will also keep the Texas Tech offense on the sidelines.
3.)
Cut Down on Penalties - Far too many penalties being called for this point in the season. They're killing drives and taking away scoring chances.
Texas Tech:1.)
Find a Running Game
- Nebraska's defense is too good to be one-dimensional against.
Everyone knows the Red Raiders can throw the ball, but Batch and
company need opportunities to keep the Huskers honest.
2.)
Cut Down on Penalties
- The Red Raiders are the most penalized team in the nation, averaging
over 10 penalties per game and over 90 yards in penalties per game.
This is far too much, especially on the road.
3.)
Find a Way to Neutralize the Nebraska Front Four
- Led by Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska's d-line is going to be a challenge to
keep from making a big impact in the game. The offensive line must be
able to hold their own against the Husker front, or it is going to be a
tough day.
Final OutlookSaturday
marks the 11th all-time meeting between Nebraska and Texas Tech.
Nebraska leads the series 7-3 since first meeting in 1976. Even though
Nebraska leads the all-time number, recent history has proved the Red
Raiders to be the better team. Texas Tech has won 3 in a row, in games
from 2004, 2005, and 2008. Last year, in Lubbock, TX, Nebraska
employed a ball control offense, getting over 40 minutes of
possession. This strategy worked to the Huskers' advantage, as they
pushed the game to overtime tied at 31. In the first overtime period,
Texas Tech scored a touchdown, but the PAT failed, giving Nebraska a
golden opportunity to get a victory. But on 2nd down from the 25,
then-QB Joe Ganz rolled out and threw an interception, sealing the win
for Texas Tech. The last game played in Lincoln, NE (2005) was no less
heartbreaking for Nebraska. In the 4th quarter, Nebraska led 31-27.
With 1:18 left in the game, Texas Tech's then-QB Cody Hodges was picked
off by Nebraska's then-DT LeKevin Smith on the Nebraska 12 yard line.
Smith decided to return the pick, making it to the 19 before he fumbled
back to the Red Raiders. Texas Tech would score with 12 seconds
remaining to beat the Huskers 34-31.
There are plenty of
interesting storylines attached to Saturday's game. For Texas Tech,
they have yet to win a road game this season, falling to their only
quality opponents, Texas and Houston. The Red Raiders have not won an
away game since October 25th of last season, a 63-21 win over the
Kansas Jayhawks. Another concern going into the game for Tech is if QB
Steven Sheffield is the real deal, or if his numbers have just been
inflated due to extremely soft competition from New Mexico and Kansas
State. He'll have to perform well on the road in a tough place to
play, Nebraska's Memorial Stadium. And if Sheffield struggles, does
Potts get a chance to play? And finally, we should find out if the
successful running game seen against Kansas State last week was purely
a product of playing against a poor defense, or if the Red Raiders have
found the right line-up on the offensive line.
Nebraska's
questions needing quick answers start with the QB position. Zac Lee
looked great in the 3-game Sun Belt series the Huskers played this
year, but in road games against Virginia Tech and Missouri, he did not
resemble the QB everyone saw in the Huskers' home games. Lee may
deserve a pass for his game against Missouri last week, due to the
tremendous rainfall. Nothing about his performance was crisp in that
game, and considering his counterpart didn't do much in the rain
either, it might be able to be written off. All of that hinges on how
well he performs on Saturday. Lee needs to prove the naysayers wrong
by bouncing back strongly against a pretty decent Texas Tech
secondary. He's supposed to have the tools, and he needs to bring them
out this weekend. Another question is whether or not that flurry of
fourth quarter touchdowns against Missouri last week will springboard
Nebraska's offense into better performances as they move forward.
It
will be interesting to see if Nebraska decides to run a similar
offensive gameplan to the one they performed last season against Texas
Tech, emphasizing ball control and limiting the Red Raiders' offensive
touches. Nebraska's defense is much better than it was a year ago, so
a strategy such as that may not be necessary to help that side of the
ball out. Another area to watch is if Texas Tech stacks the box,
attempting to stop Nebraska's run game, while daring Husker QB Zac Lee
to beat them with his arm. He hasn't been very consistent and that
might be a good plan of attack.
Texas Tech will want to start
quick and score early, but that is something Nebraska's defense has not
allowed all season long, giving up just 7 first quarter points this
year. Even that score had to be set up by a kickoff return of over 70
yards against Virginia Tech. The Red Raiders will have offensive
success through the passing game, and should put up a few scores
against the stingy Nebraska defense. The Huskers, back in the confines
of home at Memorial Stadium should bounce back from their mediocre game
in the rain last week by riding RB Roy Helu Jr and getting a few big
plays out of the passing game to get a huge Big XII conference win.
Nebraska by 7-14.
Texas Tech - 21
Nebraska - 31